I'm sure sure Chizik and Company have done their best game planning of the year for Kansas. Kansas players are thinking about playing Missouri in Arrowhead the following week...if only a little bit. Iowa State isn't going to a Bowl game. There is no tomorrow. This is a springboard for next year.
ISU players will leave everything on the field. The players will probably all be going home for Thanksgiving and will want to on a good note. Home field won't be much of an advantage for KU, especially with a good ISU fan turnout and the ISU Band in attendance.
Here my unscientific methodology (+/- degree of acurracy...100%):
-In their last two games, the Kansas defense has given up 39 points to NU and 28 points to OSU. More points than they have given up all year.
-Not including the Texas game (56-3, statistical anomaly?), Iowa State has given up 280 points (average of 28) in 10 games.
-Iowa State has scored 31 points in the last two games, their second highest point total since scoring 35 against Toledo.
Iowa State will match their season high score and hold a good KU team, who is reading their own clippings and looking ahead to playing Missouri, to the weighted average point total.
Iowa State 35
Kansas 28