All of this assumes we beat Kansas, not even remotely a certainty the way they're playing.
If A&M loses to OSU tomorrow:
an A&M win over Baylor makes a three-way tie among ISU, A&M, and Baylor, and we get the 2 seed--
2. Iowa State (11 - 5) Defeated Texas A&M based on head-to-head record.
3. Texas A&M (11 - 5) Defeated Baylor based on record against #1 South Division teams. Lost to Iowa State based on head-to-head record.
4. Baylor (11 - 5) Lost to Texas A&M based on record against #1 South Division teams.
an A&M loss to Baylor makes Baylor 12-4 and we get the three seed--
2. Baylor (12 - 4)
3. Iowa State (11 - 5)
4. Texas A&M (10 - 6)
If A&M beats OSU tomorrow:
A Baylor win over A&M puts us in a tie with A&M, which we win for the three seed--
2. Baylor (12 - 4)
3. Iowa State (11 - 5) Defeated Texas A&M based on head-to-head record.
4. Texas A&M (11 - 5) Lost to Iowa State based on head-to-head record.
An A&M win over Baylor puts us in a tie with Baylor, which we lose for the four seed--
2. Texas A&M (12 - 4)
3. Baylor (11 - 5) Defeated Iowa State based on head-to-head record.
4. Iowa State (11 - 5) Lost to Baylor based on head-to-head record.