What is missing is an ISU loss and KSU win on Sat. gives KSU the 4 seed and ISU is the 5 seed.
Here are the scenarios if ISU loses to KU:
Colorado beats KSU, A&M loses two games: We tie A&M for #3 and win the tiebreaker--
3. Iowa State (10 - 6) Defeated Texas A&M based on head-to-head record.
4. Texas A&M (10 - 6) Lost to Iowa State based on head-to-head record.
5. Kansas State (9 - 7)
Colorado beats KSU, A&M wins at least one: We are alone in 4th--
4. Iowa State (10 - 6)
5. Kansas State (9 - 7)
KSU beats Colorado, A&M loses both: We are in a three-way tie for third.KSU beats us because they swept Kansas and we lost one to them. A&M beats KSU head-to-head, so we are the 5 seed--
3. Texas A&M (10 - 6) Defeated Kansas State based on head-to-head record.
4. Kansas State (10 - 6) Defeated Iowa State based on record against #3 North Division teams. Lost to Texas A&M based on head-to-head record.
5. Iowa State (10 - 6) Lost to Kansas State based on record against #3 North Division teams.
KSU beats Colorado, A&M wins at least one: We are tied for #4 with KSU. They beat us (same reason as above) so we are the 5 seed--
4. Kansas State (10 - 6) Defeated Iowa State based on record against #3 North Division teams.
5. Iowa State (10 - 6) Lost to Kansas State based on record against #3 North Division teams.