Big XII to add schools within days?

Stormin

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Apr 11, 2006
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At least you’re consistent

Iowa State and Cincinnati got that this year. You think next year when all the senior’s and breece is gone Iowa state will be ranked 7th preseason?

I remember when it was said that we would never replace David Montgomery. And never replace Kempt when he went down with injury. Coach Campbell reloads.
 

WhoISthis

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Oct 6, 2010
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The state of Ohio could use another Power 5 program. It's ridiculous the Buckeyes get it all to themselves.
I think it would hurt the BIGs wingmen more than OSU. Say Cincy joined the SEC. they’d get a few mutual recruits, but it’s the mid pack teams that would have real trouble
 

Trice

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Apr 1, 2010
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Not sure if this has been posted, but the financial situation doesn't appear to be quite as grim as some expect (if their numbers are correct). And I don't think this accounts for any exit fees, etc.


"Not as grim" perhaps, but surely falling even further behind as most other leagues (save perhaps the ACC) are due for big raises in their next round of TV negotiations.
 

WhoISthis

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Honestly what is so impressive about cinci is that they continue to claw back to being ranked even though their coach gets poached every few years. They lost dantonio to MSU, Kelly to Notre Dame, and Jones to Tenn all in the same decade. Fickell is probably the second hottest coaching candidate after CMC. If they can keep their coaches and staff in the new Big12 they could make some real noise and if you keep CMC no reason you can't have two top ranked teams consistently.

Also from the rumors I have heard your payout is going to be around 30-35mil per team from media deals. Not sure if that includes the buyout money or not though. With how few options the Pac12 has it is very possible that you could raid them in a couple years and grab the Arizona schools as well.
Thanks for sharing.

Either that includes T3 or ESPN prefers to pay the conference an annual settlement over ligation

This points to there being a P2 +3 until it’s decided what to do with the Pac 12 (USC). That answer will also determine if the ACC reaches its GOR imo
 

AuH2O

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Yeah there are programs on the cusp of national brand. I think Miami is there because of its history and the fact that it hasn't completely nosedived as a program. But I get opinions vary on them. Completely disagree with SECESPN about Clemson being a regional brand, that's ridiculous.
Miami is probably the strangest of all teams. Every team has some mix of regional interest and national interest. I would say Miami is on the far end of CFB teams in terms of ratio of national: regional interest. They don't draw great crowds, and despite finishing unranked something like 11 of the last 15 years they are still a pretty decent TV draw. Oregon is something toward that spectrum too.

Then there are teams like Washington that have very good local appeal, are very well respected locally, but don't seem to have much interest nationally at all.

Some teams it's hard to judge what kind of "brand" the school actually has because we haven't seen enough down or mediocre years to test it. Prior to the last decade Clemson wasn't a national brand. They were a good program that was recognized, but even when they were solid, it took them winning national titles. Michigan hasn't really been nationally relevant on the field for a long time. Even with some bad stretches with Hoke and RichRod, they still draw incredible national interest.

Also, Wisconsin has elevated themselves to be up there in tier 2 with Michigan and Penn State. They get great viewership. It's taken a lot of consistent success, and it helps being in a reasonably high population state without any other FBS programs.
 
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Cyclones1969

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I remember when it was said that we would never replace David Montgomery. And never replace Kempt when he went down with injury. Coach Campbell reloads.

well then I will expect to see us rated at worst 7th next year in all the preseason polls then.
 

Cyclonepride

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"Not as grim" perhaps, but surely falling even further behind as most other leagues (save perhaps the ACC) are due for big raises in their next round of TV negotiations.

I doubt the PAC 12 is due for a big raise. I think we can function at a pretty high level on this playing field, even if we're not in the richest tier. FWIW, I'd still prefer a B1G invite, but if this is the worst case scenario, it's not nearly as bad as I expected.
 

FriendlySpartan

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Miami is probably the strangest of all teams. Every team has some mix of regional interest and national interest. I would say Miami is on the far end of CFB teams in terms of ratio of national: regional interest. They don't draw great crowds, and despite finishing unranked something like 11 of the last 15 years they are still a pretty decent TV draw. Oregon is something toward that spectrum too.

Then there are teams like Washington that have very good local appeal, are very well respected locally, but don't seem to have much interest nationally at all.

Some teams it's hard to judge what kind of "brand" the school actually has because we haven't seen enough down or mediocre years to test it. Prior to the last decade Clemson wasn't a national brand. They were a good program that was recognized, but even when they were solid, it took them winning national titles. Michigan hasn't really been nationally relevant on the field for a long time. Even with some bad stretches with Hoke and RichRod, they still draw incredible national interest.

Also, Wisconsin has elevated themselves to be up there in tier 2 with Michigan and Penn State. They get great viewership. It's taken a lot of consistent success, and it helps being in a reasonably high population state without any other FBS programs.
Big part of the reason they still draw interest is that people love seeing once great teams falter. Its why people love rooting against the cowboys and yankees. Teams that were once great that are now overhyped and have obnoxious fans are perfect fodder for espn to get rantings.
 
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Gonzo

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Kansas basketball not a 'national brand'?

Before you say 'oh, I was talklng football'-- USC and UCLA are very debatable 70's brands.

I was talking football, the 80% moneymaker. In MBB of course KU is a national brand. And sorry, but in football USC is still very much a national brand.
 
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Chitowncy

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In 5 years, the BigXII will have 2-3 power brands. The vacuum will pull up a couple teams that are winning so long as the conference stays a power 5 league.

I'm not sure if this will come to pass, but it's certainly plausible. Definitely going to 12 (with these 4) appears better than languishing and holding on at 8 for a while. If it does come to pass, we're in a great position to fill that gap. Talking optimistically here: but this expansion could be a great thing for us to fill the vacuum as long as Campbell stays!

All the while, we keep our head on a swivel and still look out for ourselves first, but the complainers hoping for a BIG invite or PAC-12 - we could be waiting forever and it may never come. I like this aggressive move and particularly like BYU and Cincy. It strikes me as better than doing nothing.
 

Gonzo

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Big part of the reason they still draw interest is that people love seeing once great teams falter. Its why people love rooting against the cowboys and yankees. Teams that were once great that are now overhyped and have obnoxious fans are perfect fodder for espn to get rantings.

I want to see Miami lose because of the stupid turnover chain...
 

AuH2O

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"Not as grim" perhaps, but surely falling even further behind as most other leagues (save perhaps the ACC) are due for big raises in their next round of TV negotiations.

I'm wondering why people think the Pac 12 is due for a "big raise" this next round while simultaneously thinking the new Big 12 is going to tank. It makes no sense. One or the other has to be wrong. ISU and Okie St. would be right behind USC and Oregon in TV viewership, and I suspect BYU would be right there with UW.

Sorry, but the PACs network games last year outside of USC and Oregon sucked. And their games with Oregon and USC were barely better than ISU and Okie State EVEN OMITTING OU and UT GAMES!

Either the PAC is NOT going to get a big raise, and USC and Oregon are going to absolutely have a wandering eye, or the new Big 12 is going to be better off than people are projecting.

There's this fantasy that the PAC deal was old and Larry Scott was a moron, so they negotiated a terrible deal. No, your product kind of sucks, PAC, that's the problem.
 

HFCS

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Will be interesting to write up the winners and losers in all of this when latest round ends for a few years.

So far as a realignment junkie/gawker I have Idaho Vandals as the ultimate losers and Rutgers as the ultimate completely lucky fell into a good situation for no real reason.

Idaho basically got demoted from FBS with MWC reforming without them leaving them no regional FBS teams to share a conference with.

Rutgers was in all likelihood not getting an ACC invite the way Pitt, Syracuse and eventually Louisville did. The ACC already had the Northeast market as much as anyone, their programs were not marquee, they don't bring a lot of real eyeballs or ticket sales...it was a brief moment in time where the tv market was calculated in a pretty irrational way that they capitalized on and basically went from American Athletic to Big Ten.

Tons of teams in between those two but I can't think of more fortunate and unfortunate. A few teams like WVU, TCU, Cincy and BYU have had wild ups and downs. Teams like ISU/KSU/KU/OKState have just been in permenent phase of 'hang on' that seems to continue. USF and UConn technically got a demotion but they were only "BCS" for a short time and the conference was a shell.

Others like Colorado, Missouri and Nebraska won stability but their programs are certainly not thriving, especially in football. If someone told you ISU's football program in the Big 12 would be objectively stronger than those three when they all bolted nobody would believe it.
 

flycy

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So does the addition of these teams make it easier for OuT to negotiate a quicker, less expensive exit? If these teams are added, can OuT's lawyers then argue that there is less damage to the league with their departure? I'm not really talking about the contractual penalties, but more the above and beyond that was being discussed if they left before 2025.

Kinda wondering if this is ESPN's motivation to speaking in positive terms about the expansion. Even the typically negative blowhards like Finebaum have kept their distance from being critical about the league. It's almost like they are creating news based on their business interests. Strange.
If this happens, is because a settlement was reached allowing for the financial stability of the wronged 8.