2020 Big 12 Championship Game Computer Projection

[Dale]

Um, this doesn't seem to far fetched considering if KU game gets cancelled.

If we pretend the Texas/KU game had already been cancelled, the odds only go down to 99.3 percent. Yeah, there's no individual result that would be terribly unlikely, but it's still hitting on a eight-game parlay.

 

[Gunnerclone]

If we pretend the Texas/KU game had already been cancelled, the odds only go down to 99.3 percent. Yeah, there's no individual result that would be terribly unlikely, but it's still hitting on a eight-game parlay.

Wonder what the payout would be on that parlay?

 

[SECyclone]

If we pretend the Texas/KU game had already been cancelled, the odds only go down to 99.3 percent. Yeah, there's no individual result that would be terribly unlikely, but it's still hitting on a eight-game parlay.

This is Iowa state we are talking about lol. Just win

 

[bosco]

If we pretend the Texas/KU game had already been cancelled, the odds only go down to 99.3 percent. Yeah, there's no individual result that would be terribly unlikely, but it's still hitting on a eight-game parlay.

Make the bet and wipe away your tears with $100 bills.

 

[83cy]

Post ISU-Texas update:



ISU odds of championship game at record:
9-3: 99.7%
10-2: 100.0%

Confused only record ISU can have going into championship game is 8-2 or 7-3 right?

 

[Dale]

Confused only record ISU can have going into championship game is 8-2 or 7-3 right?

Yeah, my bad — it's fixed. For simplicity's sake I tell my model that ISU went 2-1 in the nonconference rather than 0-1 (which would require some slight recoding). I change the results manually every week, but forgot after the ISU/Texas game due to exhilaration.

 

[Cyforce]

• West Virginia beats Iowa State.
• OU and OSU win out.
• Baylor beats KSU.
• Kansas State and Kansas beat Texas. (Or as mred mentioned earlier on this thread, Kansas/Texas being cancelled can replace the improbable Kansas beating Texas.)

If this happens, Paul Bunyan's nut cup couldn't save us.

 

[ISUCyclones2015]

Wonder what the payout would be on that parlay?

Can't do games without lines unfortunately (so no multi-week parlays ever) or else I'd throw $100 just because. But an 8 game parlay of O/U which is generally even money is About 100-1 to 150-1

I guess you could do a rolling parlay.

 

[BCClone]

What happens if we can’t play the hillbillies? Who cancelled with the and OU?

 

[mred]

What happens if we can’t play the hillbillies? Who cancelled with the and OU?

If we don't play WVU, we are #1. They use the loss column to order teams, so we can't fall out of the #1 position unless we lose.

 

[2speedy1]

What happens if we can’t play the hillbillies? Who cancelled with the and OU?

OU, cancelled the game, not WVU.

 

[TedKumsher]

SIG FIGS

I never thought Sig Figs were all that important throughout my engineering education but now here we are.

I thought it was sig digs.

 

[CNECloneFan]

Post ISU-Texas update:

Iowa St.: 99.9% (96.5% 1st, 3.5% 2nd)
Oklahoma: 77.4% (0.1% 1st, 77.3% 2nd)
Oklahoma St.: 14.3% (3.5% 1st, 10.8% 2nd)
West Virginia: 3.4% (0.0% 1st, 3.4% 2nd)
Texas: 3.2% (0.0% 1st, 3.2% 2nd)
Kansas St.: 1.8% (0.0% 1st, 1.8% 2nd)
Everyone else: Nope

Possible matchups:
Iowa St./Oklahoma: 77.3%
Iowa St./Oklahoma St.: 14.2%
Iowa St./West Virginia: 3.4%
Iowa St./Texas: 3.2%
Iowa St./Kansas St.: 1.8%
Oklahoma/Oklahoma St.: 0.1%

ISU odds of championship game at record:
7-3: 99.7%
8-2: 100.0%

I would like to play Okie State again so we will have beaten every team in the conference

 

[werdnamanhill]

Where is that Big 12 championship game scenario calculator? I can't find a link

 

[qwerty]

mred's Big 12 FB Standings Generator

Big 12 Conference Football Standings with Tiebreakers

bball.notnothing.net

 

[srjclone]

If OSU loses today, we are in correct? Simple as that?

 

[werdnamanhill]

If OSU loses today, we are in correct? Simple as that?

That's my understanding. Although I think I'd rather them win and stay in the fight. Idk about everyone else, but I would rather play OSU than OU.

 

[cyclones500]

If OSU loses today, we are in correct? Simple as that?

Or if KSU wins.

 

[2speedy1]

If OSU loses today, we are in correct? Simple as that?

Pretty sure if OK St loses, or Baylor loses to KState today we are locked in. For the scenario to work to keep us out, both Baylor and OK State need to win today. I see KState beating Baylor more than TTech beating OK St.

 

[LanningIsBakersDaddy]

Pretty sure if OK St loses, or Baylor loses to KState today we are locked in. For the scenario to work to keep us out, both Baylor and OK State need to win today. I see KState beating Baylor more than TTech beating OK St.

I wouldn’t be THAT surprised if Okie State lost though. That OU loss and all of their injuries could seriously hurt them.