Upset Specials?

[dahliaclone]

Anyone have some outlier picks, or thinking of picking, in terms of pretty substantial upsets? I'm talking first round only and must be a 12 over 5 or bigger. 11/6, 10/7, 9/8 aren't upsets really these days...

I have loved Providence all year but man I think South Dakota State I could see winning and how ****** would that be because I think Iowa ROLLS Richmond by like 30.

I am close to pulling the trigger on New Mexico State over UCONN.

The one I really want to pick is Colgate over Wisconsin. I've said all year Wisconsin is playing with fire. Something like 15 wins are 6 points or less. Didn't play well down the stretch losing at home to Nebraska and early exit in Indy as well. Colgate has won 19 of their last 20 games...most of them blowouts. Gotta think about this more but I may do it.

Vermont over Arkansas seems trendy but I don't see it.

 

[mjhavlo76]

Norfolk State over Baylor. No joke. I think they could be the next UMBC.

 

[ISUChippewa]

Anyone have some outlier picks, or thinking of picking, in terms of pretty substantial upsets? I'm talking first round only and must be a 12 over 5 or bigger. 11/6, 10/7, 9/8 aren't upsets really these days...

I have loved Providence all year but man I think South Dakota State I could see winning and how ****** would that be because I think Iowa ROLLS Richmond by like 30.

I am close to pulling the trigger on New Mexico State over UCONN.

The one I really want to pick is Colgate over Wisconsin. I've said all year Wisconsin is playing with fire. Something like 15 wins are 6 points or less. Didn't play well down the stretch losing at home to Nebraska and early exit in Indy as well. Colgate has won 19 of their last 20 games...most of them blowouts. Gotta think about this more but I may do it.

Vermont over Arkansas seems trendy but I don't see it.

At some point NMSU has to get over the hump and actually win one of these games they've come so close to doing before. This year could be the year.

I like to look at the metrics-based websites like KenPom and TRank.com to see which teams are fairly close together and use that as a guide for potential upsets. This year Providence as a 4 seed is an eye-catching 49 in KenPom and 45 in TRank (!!!). South Dakota State isn't too far behind them in those rankings. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see that upset.

 

[ISUTex]

Illinois loses to chatanooga.

 

[JP4CY]

13 SDSU over 4 Providence is enticing

 

[BCClone]

Illinois loses to chatanooga.

Cockburn will be contained you thinking?

 

[bsaltyman]

I went with Vermont over Arkansas and South Dakota St over Providence.

 

[demoncore1031]

Cockburn will be contained you thinking?

Well I have been taking antibiotics so we'll see. Thank you for the concern.

 

[bradcyclone]

I don’t call it an upset but Loyola Chicago over Ohio State?

 

[madguy30]

Well I have been taking antibiotics so we'll see. Thank you for the concern.

It's not always bacterial.







Someone once said.

 

[JP4CY]

I don’t call it an upset but Loyola Chicago over Ohio State?

Vegas probably will have Loyola favored.

 

[ISpyCy]

IMO, Tennessee is always highly rated and never goes anywhere. I would also love to see Chatt over Illinois because I'm sorta banking on another B1G flop this year.

 

[Gonzo]

11 seed Michigan over 6 Colorado St. and then over 3 Tennessee to get to the Sweet 16.

 

[cyclone1209]

13 SDSU over 4 Providence is enticing

I was seriously thinking about that one. SDSU is very solid.

Geez I'm envious of Iowa's path to a S16.. looks very manageable.

I think we win 1 and then bow out.

 

[1UNI2ISU]

Vermont in the late night Thursday upset special. Arkansas doesn't defend great and Vermont can score

 

[cyfanatic13]

Upset lines of note:
#4 Providence only 2 point favorite over #13 SDSU
#11 Michigan is -2.5 over #6 CSU
#10 Loyola is -1 over #7 OSU
#4 Arkansas only 5 point favorite over #13 Vermont
#10 San Fran -1.5 over #7 Murray St
#6 Texas only -1 over #11 VT
#7 USC only -1 over #10 Miami

 

[Drew0311]

I went with Vermont over Arkansas and South Dakota St over Providence.

Vermont is really good. Ryan Davis would be a solid grad transfer if he decides to do that. Most of their loses this year have been without key players

 

[Clonehomer]

I'm typically a fan of Crest, but if we knock off LSU our house will turn into Colgate fans immediately.

 

[cyclones500]

I went with Vermont over Arkansas and South Dakota St over Providence.

Those are good first-hunch upsets.

On the other hand, if I think they're good probably means it won't happen.

 

[bsaltyman]

Those are good first-hunch upsets.

On the other hand, if I think they're good probably means it won't happen.

Yeah, take my picks with a grain of Salt. I believe that last year my then 7 y/o beat my bracket.