Coronavirus Coronavirus: In-Iowa General Discussion (Not Limited)

[Statefan10]

They are doing it means nothing. The question is whether it is having any practical effect.

How do we know any of this is having an effect? You don't know the effect of these things for a long long time and right now Iowa is acting like they know something the entire country doesn't know. Apparently we can see the future and 100% sure that we don't have to implement as strong of measures here.

 

[Acylum]

Ope, I did what the DSM Register did lol. Good catch.

I actually emailed them and got a response back from someone by the name of Carol Hunter. Said it would be fixed today.

 

[dmclone]

How do you know this?

Because of current numbers?

Iowa's peak is possibly out a month or two, if Wisconsin, who was way ahead in cases, has been projected to peak at the end of April.

Because of the trajectory and the fact that no one has said that the peak is two months out.

I also assume you know that just because "Wisconsin, who is way ahead in cases", doesn't have anything to do with Iowa or it's peak?

 

[Stewo]

I actually emailed them and got a response back from someone by the name of Carol Hunter. Said it would be fixed today.

That *****!

 

[Statefan10]

As long as we are asking how we know things, how do you know that?

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

This projects Iowa's peak to be at the end of April.. so about a month.

 

[madguy30]

As long as we are asking how we know things, how do you know that?

I don't, but I'm not going to make cut and dry comments like, 'Iowa's doing a great job of flattening the curve' when the curve is hardly even getting started.

Since this is an ISU site, it's like if people thought ISU was a conference championship team in January of 2019 because they were 4-2 in conference.

I CAN say that things are projected to get worse, and expect that.

 

[Clonefan32]

I don't, but I'm not going to make cut and dry comments like, 'Iowa's doing a great job of flattening the curve' when the curve is hardly even getting started.

Since this is an ISU site, it's like if people thought ISU was a conference championship team in January of 2019 because they were 4-2 in conference.

I CAN say that things are projected to get worse, and expect that.

I just think it's funny you lead with "where is your evidence this is true" and followed with a statement about when the peak will hit in Iowa that was not based in anything other than conjecture.

 

[Acylum]

Since this is an ISU site, it's like if people thought ISU was a conference championship team in January of 2019 because they were 4-2 in conference.

We would've been if we'd sheltered in place with that record.

 

[dmclone]

I've read the peak outbreak in Iowa will be April 17. This was from "national health officials" so I'm not sure whether to believe that or a CF poster.

 

[Statefan10]

I've read the peak outbreak in Iowa will be April 17. This was from "national health officials" so I'm not sure whether to believe that or a CF poster.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

I could be wrong, but I doubt a CF poster is working for the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation.

 

[madguy30]

Because of the trajectory and the fact that no one has said that the peak is two months out.

I also assume you know that just because "Wisconsin, who is way ahead in cases", doesn't have anything to do with Iowa or it's peak?

Have cases increased? Are there indications that they are ceasing to increase? Is there actual, cut and dry evidence that the curve is flattened in Iowa?

 

[madguy30]

I've read the peak outbreak in Iowa will be April 17. This was from "national health officials" so I'm not sure whether to believe that or a CF poster.

If that happens, that would be great. I'm not going to argue that.

 

[UNIGuy4Cy]

I've read the peak outbreak in Iowa will be April 17. This was from "national health officials" so I'm not sure whether to believe that or a CF poster.

It will be interesting as the new cases seem to go up and down on a daily basis. I assume we will be asked to stay home until the 30th of April, with businesses closed. It will be interesting to see how we "reinvent" people going to places such as malls/bars/restaurants on May 1st. No way can we shut down businesses longer than that btw, there wouldn't be a job to come back to.

 

[Acylum]

Have cases increased? Are there indications that they are ceasing to increase? Is there actual, cut and dry evidence that the curve is flattened in Iowa?

These are the same questions that make the whole SIP argument moot. Choosing one course of action eliminates gaining any data from other courses of action.

 

[dmclone]

Have cases increased? Are there indications that they are ceasing to increase? Is there actual, cut and dry evidence that the curve is flattened in Iowa?

I don't think you understand what flattening the curve actually means.

 

[madguy30]

I don't think you understand what flattening the curve actually means.

Do you think the curve has been flattened? On April 1?

 

[Al_4_State]

So question, our cases were lower than the last two days (doesn't mean much), but our percentage of positivity was the same right? So does that mean yesterday we tested less people yesterday?

That's my assumption.

Hopefully that's a sign of less people looking to get tested in the first place, as opposed to them being rationed.

 

[madguy30]

That's my assumption.

Hopefully that's a sign of less people looking to get tested in the first place, as opposed to them being rationed.

Hopefully it's not an increase of people saying 'I haven't felt sick yet, what's the difference if I go out now?'

 

[Statefan10]

That's my assumption.

Hopefully that's a sign of less people looking to get tested in the first place, as opposed to them being rationed.

Yeah I doubt that less people are looking to get tested, but I hope so!

 

[Al_4_State]

4/1
https://governor.iowa.gov/press-rel...-19-cases-in-iowa-additional-deaths-confirmed


3/31
https://governor.iowa.gov/press-rel...19-cases-in-iowa-additional-death-confirmed-0


7,304-6,888 = 416 negative tests over one day period
416 negative + 52 postive = 468 total tested

52/468 = 11.1% tested postive

When I'm talking percentage of positive tests, I mean total. We don't remove recovered people from the tally of cases, so this should be the same.

7304 negative tests + 549 positive tests = 7,853 total tests in Iowa.

549/7853 = .069 or 6.9% of all tests coming back positive.

That percentage has been consistent all week.