Winter Weather 1/18-1/19

ArgentCy

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Jan 13, 2010
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Iowa Storm Chasing Network just put out 4 different model runs, all showing that dry slot in western Iowa. One model moving everything north quite a ways, but most are relatively consistent.
Not sure what our weather folks on this site think about them (Iowa Storm Chasing group), but I feel they have been pretty darn accurate the last two years.

View attachment 61731

View attachment 61732

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View attachment 61734

#4 because that has been the trend all year.

I don't know but I think #4 was the closest. Had the northern branch close and less snow in the CR area. The southern branch just didn't have as much moisture as expected.
 

SayMyName

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Jan 28, 2017
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Yeah...I think you need to go back and look at the graphics. The ones that were spot on on Thursday.
OK, let's play this game your way, then.

From the original tweet, this is the forecast graphic from Wed evening, 48 hours from the event:
DxR_q-7U0AA15dZ.jpeg

Now here is the graphic of "reported storm totals":
DxRs1D2VsAAq91i.jpeg

Like they say on Sesame Street, "One of these things is not like the other..." My personal fave is Council Bluffs.

This graphic from late Thurs night, about 18 hours prior to the event, is definitely better but far from "spot on" as you claim.
DxR_q-8V4AEb9Mg.jpeg
 
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chuckd4735

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OK, let's play this game your way, then.

From the original tweet, this is the forecast graphic from Wed evening, 48 hours from the event:
View attachment 61780

Now here is the graphic of "reported storm totals":
View attachment 61781

Like they say on Sesame Street, "One of these things is not like the other..." My personal fave is Council Bluffs.

This graphic from late Thurs night, about 18 hours prior to the event, is definitely better but far from "spot on" as you claim.
View attachment 61784
So still much better than the 4-8 hours that you claimed?
 

cstrunk

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Mar 21, 2006
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Y'all don't really understand at all just how hard it is to forecast snow amounts.

It's not like they're forecasting 1" or 2" or rain. Every 1" of rain equivalent can be 10"-20" of snow. Just huge variations are possible and it's amazing that from two days out the forecasts are as accurate as they are.
 
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BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
Y'all don't really understand at all just how hard it is to forecast snow amounts.

It's not like they're forecasting 1" or 2" or rain. Every 1" of rain equivalent can be 10"-20" of snow. Just huge variations are possible and it's amazing that from two days out the forecasts are as accurate as they are.


I think it’s so simple as men and women forecasters. Men look at something as 8-9 inches worth and women claim it’s only 4 inches.
 
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Scott34

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Mar 16, 2007
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Cedar Rapids
OK, let's play this game your way, then.

From the original tweet, this is the forecast graphic from Wed evening, 48 hours from the event:
View attachment 61780

Now here is the graphic of "reported storm totals":
View attachment 61781

Like they say on Sesame Street, "One of these things is not like the other..." My personal fave is Council Bluffs.

This graphic from late Thurs night, about 18 hours prior to the event, is definitely better but far from "spot on" as you claim.
View attachment 61784
Looks pretty close to me. Not sure what you are expecting. Guessing exactly is near impossible.
 

BoxsterCy

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Sep 14, 2009
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The good news is that whatever is happening in Canada and northern Minnesota is forcing pine siskins to my yard in the Twin Cities. Boxster is totally cool with pine siskins.
 

NorthCyd

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The snow we're getting in North Ankeny right now is worse than anything we got Friday night. Lol! At least there is no wind.
 

3TrueFans

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Sep 10, 2009
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Why is it snowing today? There wasn't even a Winter Weather 1/20 thread! I was not prepared for this!!!
 

BigJCy

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Apr 11, 2006
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Why is it snowing today? There wasn't even a Winter Weather 1/20 thread! I was not prepared for this!!!
Yep, wasn't expecting it either. Screw it I'm not shoveling it though with more on the way Tuesday.
 

CYEATHAWK

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Aug 26, 2007
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Why is it snowing today? There wasn't even a Winter Weather 1/20 thread! I was not prepared for this!!!

Harper is who dropped the snow a few days ago. More than likely you are dealing with Frank...Harpers brother who just got out of jail. Being an embarrassment to the family...Harper didn't want anyone know they are related so he asked the NWS and the weather channel to just ignore Frank.
 
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