Could Oregon and Washington join Notre Dame in the ACC if the Big 10 is finished? Why not? Geography means absolutely nothing anymore. They fit in more academically with the ACC than the Big 12.
Plus it doesn't make a lot of sense and would hurt the Big 12. That seems to be the trend.
The ACC is dead man walking.
The big difference is the Pac12 & Big12 have TV Contracts expiring in summer 2024 & 2025 respectively. So both conferences (and their schools) will have the opportunity to negotiate their TV Rights at current market pricing.
Conversely, the ACC is stuck in a deal through 2036 where their media rights are on par with old Big12/Pac12 media rights $.
Why would Notre Dame or Oregon/Washington accept $35M (ACC $) when Notre Dame can get at least $150M when their deal is up after 2025. Oregon/Washington are probably worth $50-$60M in today's $.
I don't believe the Big10 is done. Taking just 2 Pac12 schools makes no sense. IMO the Big10 is trying to see if ND can get out of their ACC deal. If ND can, that would dictate who the Big10 takes among: Oregon, Washington, Stanford and Cal.
Notre Dame is the elephant in the room because would not surprise me if their media value is 30-50% above Ohio State, Michigan, Texas, Texas A&M, etc.
The Big10 could take Notre Dame and Slippery Rock and the value to the Big10 TV deal would be accretive on a per school revenue. So ND would allow the Big10 to be very selective or very aggressive!