It’s creative but realignment is going to cause Teams in the P5 to get purged, not added. Rich get richer, not share what you can get for yourself.
Its also crazy because in game attendance doesn't matter at all. Conferences aren't adding schools to sell more visitor tickets, they are adding schools that can generate more money in upcoming media rights negotiations. The schools that add value are big athletic brands that casual fans know that have a history in big markets. Give ISU a few more top 25 years and they can certainly become one of those brands but the market thing will always hold them back from the big ten perspective. From the Pac12 perspective adding Iowa is a bonus.Who do people that that the California schools are going to accept a POD where ISU has the easiest POD to make the championship. This is crazy.
People don't attend games in places like that as much. Especially once the team loses a game or two early. It's the same reason you see empty seats at Jets and Giants games in New York. Doesn't necessarily mean people aren't watching on TV. Traffic is a ******* nightmare in So Cal. If I lived 30 minutes from the stadium and it took me 3 hours to get there I wouldn't go either.I get that TV money is the only thing that matters but what determines that? You can't just look at the current contracts. What is ISU's value vs Oregon or USC? I get they're in bigger markets, but they aren't pulling the NFL numbers. How is that metric determined? Does USC and Oregon draw higher number of streaming eyes? If so, why are their attendance numbers lower? Honest question, I have not seen any data on that.
Correct.It’s creative but realignment is going to cause Teams in the P5 to get purged, not added. Rich get richer, not share what you can get for yourself.
Sucks to BUCorrect.
The logical thing is a scheduling alliance through the end of the Big XII GOR so UT and OU pay for being traitors.
Then, optimistically (assuming the B1G doesn't offer us) there is a conference merger that includes 4 or 6 teams from the remaining 8 teams. Probably excluding Baylor (worst cultural fit) and WVU (incredibly awkward geographically - I mean it already was without Pacific and Mountain time teams in the majority).
Add 4: ISU, KU, OSU, TTU
Add 6: include TCU and KSU
You would only have 3 teams that you play every year, so that schedule is ever changing. Finishing first in your pod wouldn't get you a spot in the championship, overall conference record would. Big ten east vs west? SEC? You can look at any conference and they're usually imbalanced. Just depends on the year.Who do people that that the California schools are going to accept a POD where ISU has the easiest POD to make the championship. This is crazy.
Why anyone would 'dumb' this is beyond me. Especially, since you stated it was a 'crazy idea'. For my part, I enjoyed this much more than most realignment posts because you threw some data in there to substantiate it. Thank you. But, I don't quite see the world arriving at this alignment. Not because it isn't a good alignment, but rather because how often does anyone do anything 'right' these days. Bottom line: odds are against it.I wanted to do some comparisons on attendance numbers, just as one metric and it really surprised me. First, this is a small sample size, just the 2019 year. But a combined Big12/Pac12 minus Tex/Ok, would have ISU second in average attendance. This is both encouraging and scary. Encouraging that we stack up better than any other university than Washington. But scary because, even if we would merge, what would the payouts be? Or does attendance not matter? If you take away the TV money, what else is the driving factor as to the "value" a school brings to the conference?
That being said, I couldn't put this together and not throw in a crazy idea. So here goes:
This would be a merger of sorts, but involves poaching some schools from the AAC.
Goals:
4 timezones, so many possibilities for TV slots
Florida and Texas recruiting areas. (I think TCU and Baylor would be hard sells for the PAC12, but added Houston which is a huge market. Adding the PAC12's access to Texas is a big FU to Texas that I am 100% behind. Adding Cincinnati is a selfish one to keep access to the Ohio recruiting area and give travel partners to WVU and the 2 florida schools. UCF and USF are traditional "commuter" schools, but have had success and have HUGE enrollments and are growing)
Ideally, it would be nice to cut down to 20 teams, but this gives you two 12 team leagues essentially. You could easily split this into larger groups, but at first I was trying to get to twenty which is why they're grouped into groups of 4.
Challenges:
No AAU for many schools. Does this matter?
ISU is second largest for attendance, how much could a league like this get compared to ACC/B1G/SEC.
Thoughts?
EAST
WVU
Cincinnati
UCF
USF
CENTRAL
ISU
KU
OK St.
KSU
SOUTH
Baylor
Houston
Texas Tech
TCU
MOUNTAIN
Arizona
Arizona State
Colorado
Utah
CALIFORNIA
CAL
Stanford
UCLA
USC
NORTHWEST
Oregon
Oregon St.
Washington
Wash St
View attachment 87880
But it is a great indicator of fan enthusiasm which translates much better to media eyes than any other model.Its also crazy because in game attendance doesn't matter at all. Conferences aren't adding schools to sell more visitor tickets, they are adding schools that can generate more money in upcoming media rights negotiations. The schools that add value are big athletic brands that casual fans know that have a history in big markets. Give ISU a few more top 25 years and they can certainly become one of those brands but the market thing will always hold them back from the big ten perspective. From the Pac12 perspective adding Iowa is a bonus.
That is true, but those schools are generally not coming on the market willing and ready to move to another conference. The Big 10 can talk about how much more money USC can earn by joining the conference, but does USC really need the money and is it worth all the headache of being one of two teams on the western side of an central/eastern conference, when they can stay where they are and reform the conference by picking up the central portion of the Big 12?Its also crazy because in game attendance doesn't matter at all. Conferences aren't adding schools to sell more visitor tickets, they are adding schools that can generate more money in upcoming media rights negotiations. The schools that add value are big athletic brands that casual fans know that have a history in big markets. Give ISU a few more top 25 years and they can certainly become one of those brands but the market thing will always hold them back from the big ten perspective. From the Pac12 perspective adding Iowa is a bonus.
Definitely don't want that.Saw a 20 team PAC/BIG 20 that had ISU in a pod with the Oregon-Washington teams.
That’s a hellish driving road trip.
Saw a 20 team PAC/BIG 20 that had ISU in a pod with the Oregon-Washington teams.
That’s a hellish driving road trip.
There’s no way that is likely. Those are flagship PAC schools. They won’t want to deal with coming to Iowa regularly, especially Oregon.Saw a 20 team PAC/BIG 20 that had ISU in a pod with the Oregon-Washington teams.
That’s a hellish driving road trip.
We just need the P5 to merge together, then split teams up geographically.
Exactly. What is the point of a conference anymore anyways? Get a champion into the playoffs doesn't even matter if Texas and OU want to fight for those spots within the SEC.
I say just put the Power 5 all together, do it regionally, and split revenue as best you can based on what each team brings. Equality in pay within it is going to die real soon. It was the reason the reason this all started, and the reason it will end.
Texas/OU will be happy for a bit and take a chunk of the new mega-tv contract it will bring, but they will soon not want to keep feeding all the SEC bottom feeders.
All a conference is now is an alliance of teams that market themselves together for a singular TV contract.
Conference | 2019 Avg. Attendance | 2019 Avg Attendance Rank |
SEC | 75,071 | 20.9 |
B1G | 33,722 | 31.8 |
ACC | 47,706 | 43.8 |
PAC | 45,849 | 45.8 |
B12 v3.0 | 44,345 | 47.3 |
AAC (2019) | 30,285 | 72.0 |
MWC | 23,100 | 90.4 |
OU/TX could very well forever be remembered for ruining college football.
Tv money is the only money at matters. Or in the future streaming money, but either way eyes from home is what matters.
I wish it were the good old days, where location, rivalries, academics, and product on the field mattered.
Now it’s money and only money.