The issue is there are only 5-10 players who grad transfer that actually would be considered impact starters to meet that expectation.
Even last year the impact of the top 10 (per this preseason list) really has changed the fortune of the team they joined.
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COLLEGE BASKETBALL NOVEMBER 1,2019
College Basketball’s Top 20 Transfers for 2019-20
Jeff Goodman, Stadium Basketball Insider
by Jeff Goodman, Stadium Basketball Insider
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Transfers are all the rage these days. It’s become the new way of recruiting in recent years, and Texas Tech Head Coach Chris Beard used a couple of transfers — Matt Mooney and Tariq Owens — to help reload and get to the championship game last season.
[RELATED: College Basketball’s 2019-20 Midseason Transfer List]
Here’s a list of the 20 transfers who will make a significant impact this season:
https://watchstadium.com/college-basketballs-top-20-transfers-for-2019-20-10-31-2019/
1) Kerry Blackshear Jr., 6-10, 250, PF, Grad, Florida
2018-19 Stats: 14.9 ppg, 7.5 rpg (Virginia Tech)
Scout’s take: “Skilled post player that you can run offense through. He can score with his back to the basket, at the elbow or extend to beyond the 3-point line. Extremely high basketball IQ, can rebound in his area, has a mean streak and toughness about him.”
2) Quentin Grimes, 6-5, 210, G, So. (Waiver), Houston
2018-19 Stats: 8.4 ppg (Kansas)
Scout’s take: “Doesn’t do anything exceptional, but does everything well. Should be Kelvin Sampson’s best player and will thrive with a change of scenery.”
3) Chris Clarke, 6-6, 205, SF, Grad, Texas Tech
2017-18 Stats: 8.2 ppg, 6.3 rpg (2017-18 at Virginia Tech)
Scout’s take: “Quick-twitch athlete, big-time motor with a high basketball IQ. Can play and also guard multiple positions.”
4) Nate Sestina, 6-9, 245, PF, Grad, Kentucky
2018-19 Stats: 15.8 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 38% 3-pointers (Bucknell)
Scout’s take: “Very good catch-and-shoot guy. Makes 3s and stretches the floor. Shoots a turnaround jumper in the post. Physical and strong, good position rebounder and uses strength. Goes after misses. Solid low-post defender, average foot-speed guarding on the perimeter.”
5) Shakur Juiston, 6-7, 220, PF, Grad, Oregon
2018-19 Stats: 10.8 ppg, 8.8 rpg (UNLV)
Scout’s take: “He’s a banger, a phenomenal rebounder. Quick twitch. He can finish around the rim and step out to mid-range.”
6) Omer Yurtseven, 7-0, 275, C, Sr., Georgetown
2017-18 Stats: 13.5 ppg, 6.7 rpg (NC State)
Scout’s take: “The guy is a skilled big man, and we all know Patrick Ewing will do his best to get him the ball. He can score in the post, and also steps out.”
7) Admon Gilder, 6-4, 200, G, Grad, Gonzaga
2017-18 Stats: 12.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 40% 3-pointers (Texas A&M)
Scout’s take: “Big-time kid, relentless work ethic. He was one of the best defensive players in the SEC over the last three seasons and has already scored over 1,000 points in his career.”
8) Rasir Bolton, 6-2, 180, G, So. (Waiver), Iowa State
2018-19 Stats: 11.6 ppg (Penn State)
Scout’s take: “Guard who can score in a variety of ways. Shoots it well from deep, but can also get to the basket.”
9) Justin Pierce, 6-7, 215, F, Grad, North Carolina
2018-19 Stats: 14.9 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 4.1 apg (William & Mary)
Scout’s take: “Long, skilled and athletic hybrid forward who is a stat stuffer. Excellent cutter, passes it well, needs to get stronger.”
10) Malachi Flynn, 6-2, 180, PG, Jr., San Diego State
2017-18 Stats: 15.8 ppg, 4.3 apg (Washington State)
Scout’s take: “Quick little guard who could wind up being San Diego State’s best player. He can get into the lane, shoots it and also can run the team.”
Many of those listed ISU did contact but due to a lack previous connection or players just wanting a place closer to home were not coming to Ames. Bolton has an argument as being the most impactful one in the top 10 and the staff should get a lot of credit for that.
My point isn't that ISU shouldn't recruit and impact transfer for next year, rather that even getting a top 10 GT doesn't mean it automatically works out. It is a total crap shoot how a new player will step into a new conference and stay or improve on their numbers day one after only one summer learning a system/team. (same thing for JC players who aren't the magic bullet to improve a team immediately).
I would rather judge the staff on the sit out transfers and how they develop on therr time sitting out and impact the team once eligible. I will focus more on Johnson and hoping he is a major player for ISU next year rather than whom ever they get on the ultra competitive GT market.