I can read it and it is total BS. Maybe Ron took stat 104 and is an expert on all statistical analysis now.
Big 12 Champion Computer Projection
- Thread starter Dale
- Start date
After Monday's games:
Iowa St.: 55.3% (31.3% outright, 24.0% tied)
Kansas: 39.0% (18.6% outright, 20.4% tied)
Baylor: 19.0% (7.5% outright, 11.5% tied)
Kansas St.: 16.4% (6.6% outright, 9.8% tied)
Texas Tech: 11.8% (3.4% outright, 8.4% tied)
Texas: 0.8% (0.1% outright, 0.7% tied)
TCU: 0.6% (0.1% outright, 0.5% tied)
Iowa St.: 55.3% (31.3% outright, 24.0% tied)
Kansas: 39.0% (18.6% outright, 20.4% tied)
Baylor: 19.0% (7.5% outright, 11.5% tied)
Kansas St.: 16.4% (6.6% outright, 9.8% tied)
Texas Tech: 11.8% (3.4% outright, 8.4% tied)
Texas: 0.8% (0.1% outright, 0.7% tied)
TCU: 0.6% (0.1% outright, 0.5% tied)
Facing the hardest games at the end is favorable to teams that improve more than others. Is Weber too much of a flake to get KSU to improve?
He's their best defender, but K State isn't likely to set the world on fire on that end anyway.
Except when playing ISU. I have no stats to back that up, but KSU always seems to shoot out of their mind against us. Hoping that have that hot hand tonight.
This lack of depth is going to cause their players to put up more minutes and will wear on them as the season goes on. Not sure I've seen a KU bench as thin as this.
K-State is inconsistent as streaming services. 16-29, 55% from three and overall at oSu Saturday. Dean Wade: 9 for 9.
Not sure I buy the wear on them argument. I think it does have an effect, as in games where they're shorthanded, the margin for error is less (whether that's due to foul trouble, or match ups, or whatever). If you're KU, you definitely would rather have him, as he can guard almost any spot on the floor.
He’s a versatile defender and doesn’t usually make mistakes on offense, but scheme wise, replacing him with Agbaji may be a net gain. With Garret they were more small than small-ball.
KU still has Moore, Lesser Lawson, McCormack, and Lightfoot on the bench. That’s three top 60 guys plus a junior. Self isn’t exactly turning straw into gold if they’re short on talent.
After last night's games:
Iowa St.: 57.9% (33.9% outright, 24.0% tied)
Kansas St.: 31.0% (14.6% outright, 16.4% tied)
Kansas: 21.1% (6.7% outright, 14.4% tied)
Baylor: 19.9% (8.0% outright, 11.9% tied)
Texas Tech: 13.0% (3.8% outright, 9.2% tied)
Texas: 0.8% (0.1% outright, 0.7% tied)
TCU: 0.6% (0.1% outright, 0.5% tied)
The highest leverage game remaining in the season is, no surprise, ISU @ KSU next Saturday.
If we spot ISU the win:
Iowa St.: 74.1% (49.8% outright, 24.3% tied)
Kansas: 18.1% (5.4% outright, 12.7% tied)
Baylor: 17.8% (7.0% outright, 10.8% tied)
Kansas St.: 15.2% (4.9% outright, 10.4% tied)
Texas Tech: 12.1% (3.7% outright, 8.4% tied)
If we spot KSU the win:
Kansas St.: 47.7% (24.7% outright, 22.9% tied)
Iowa St.: 40.2% (17.2% outright, 23.0% tied)
Kansas: 23.7% (8.0% outright, 15.7% tied)
Baylor: 22.4% (9.5% outright, 12.9% tied)
Texas Tech: 14.4% (4.3% outright, 10.1% tied)
Iowa St.: 57.9% (33.9% outright, 24.0% tied)
Kansas St.: 31.0% (14.6% outright, 16.4% tied)
Kansas: 21.1% (6.7% outright, 14.4% tied)
Baylor: 19.9% (8.0% outright, 11.9% tied)
Texas Tech: 13.0% (3.8% outright, 9.2% tied)
Texas: 0.8% (0.1% outright, 0.7% tied)
TCU: 0.6% (0.1% outright, 0.5% tied)
The highest leverage game remaining in the season is, no surprise, ISU @ KSU next Saturday.
If we spot ISU the win:
Iowa St.: 74.1% (49.8% outright, 24.3% tied)
Kansas: 18.1% (5.4% outright, 12.7% tied)
Baylor: 17.8% (7.0% outright, 10.8% tied)
Kansas St.: 15.2% (4.9% outright, 10.4% tied)
Texas Tech: 12.1% (3.7% outright, 8.4% tied)
If we spot KSU the win:
Kansas St.: 47.7% (24.7% outright, 22.9% tied)
Iowa St.: 40.2% (17.2% outright, 23.0% tied)
Kansas: 23.7% (8.0% outright, 15.7% tied)
Baylor: 22.4% (9.5% outright, 12.9% tied)
Texas Tech: 14.4% (4.3% outright, 10.1% tied)
Alright, Bruce, do your magic.
After watching the KU players faces and body language against KSU I'd say they are starting to fade. Not having any fun and looked fatigued. I swore Lawson faked injury late in game just to sit down for a blow. All the pressure is on them.
Interesting article in the USA Today this morning. Excerpts:
"It gets interesting when we take a look at these teams’ seeding lines as compared to their conference standings, which the selection committee doesn’t care about. Take Kansas State and Baylor as examples. Both teams lead the league standings with only two losses. Yet the Wildcats are a projected No. 6 seed and the Bears are just a No. 8 seed. Both teams rank No. 29 and 30 in the NET rankings because of mediocre credentials. Credit that to a lousy nonconference slate for Baylor and two portfolio-staining losses (to Tulsa and Texas A& M) for KSU."
"Meanwhile, Kansas (No. 3 seed), Iowa State (No. 4 seed) and No. 5 Texas Tech (No. 5 seed) are in much better shape thanks to stronger overall resumes that feature either ample Quadrant 1 (top-30 home/top-75 road) victories or no losses outside the top-50."
"Whichever team wins the Big 12 this year, especially if it’s not Kansas for the first time in 15 years, might have have a worse seed than the third-, fourth- or fifth-place finisher. That’s just a reminder that the selection committee looks at resumes from November to March and that this conference again is loaded with decent teams."
"It gets interesting when we take a look at these teams’ seeding lines as compared to their conference standings, which the selection committee doesn’t care about. Take Kansas State and Baylor as examples. Both teams lead the league standings with only two losses. Yet the Wildcats are a projected No. 6 seed and the Bears are just a No. 8 seed. Both teams rank No. 29 and 30 in the NET rankings because of mediocre credentials. Credit that to a lousy nonconference slate for Baylor and two portfolio-staining losses (to Tulsa and Texas A& M) for KSU."
"Meanwhile, Kansas (No. 3 seed), Iowa State (No. 4 seed) and No. 5 Texas Tech (No. 5 seed) are in much better shape thanks to stronger overall resumes that feature either ample Quadrant 1 (top-30 home/top-75 road) victories or no losses outside the top-50."
"Whichever team wins the Big 12 this year, especially if it’s not Kansas for the first time in 15 years, might have have a worse seed than the third-, fourth- or fifth-place finisher. That’s just a reminder that the selection committee looks at resumes from November to March and that this conference again is loaded with decent teams."
I don’t get this theme. Weber has already shared in a B12 title previously and took this team to the Elite 8 last year.
He’s a pretty damn good coach IMO.
