WILLIAMS: Week 6 Big 12 ATS Picks

Oct 1, 2022; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan (15) reacts after scoring a touchdown during the second half at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Picking this year’s Big 12 against the spread is not an enviable task. After a BRUTAL week five where I went 1-4 in my picks, I am now sitting at a very mediocre .500 on the year with a record of 18-18. 

I cannot imagine trying to pick a more difficult league against the number than what the Big 12 is going to be over the next two months. But I’m going to bring it every week baby! 

The one prediction I am confident in making within this league this year is to expect the unexpected. The only tip that I have for all of you (and myself) is to not overreact from week to week. These teams are very even and the 2022 Big 12 slate is going to be one hell of a ride. 

With that, let’s get after it with a tasty week six lineup!

Record on the Year: 18-18 (1-4 last week)

TCU (-7) at Kansas — Playing TCU here was my favorite action of the week … however that was when it was well below a touchdown. Smart bettors are hammering the Horned Frogs who behind Kansas, are perhaps the biggest surprise so far in the Big 12. I left Iowa State’s loss to Kansas not very impressed with the 5-0 Jayhawks. I know, that sounds crazy. 

THE PICK: TCU 34, Kansas 24 

Texas (-7) vs. Oklahoma — Another game that I would be much more interested in actually playing if the spread was under a touchdown. I hate betting this game. It’s just not a smart thing to do. However, how can you bet on Oklahoma and that putrid defense against anybody right now? I mean, the Sooners almost gave up 500 yards of offense to TCU IN THE FIRST HALF last week. I’m not even in love with Texas, but it feels like a revenge spot for Sarkisian after last year’s Red River disaster, especially if Quinn Ewers is ready to play. 

THE PICK: Texas 41, Oklahoma 24 

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (-9.5) — There’s a decent chance that Texas Tech is plateauing a bit after its fast start under first-year head coach Joey McGuire. Having said that, Oklahoma State has a massive road trip to TCU next week and after upsetting Baylor in Waco, this gives off the appearance of a scary sandwich game for Mike Gundy’s crew. 

THE PICK: Oklahoma State 38, Texas Tech 30 

Kansas State (-2) at Iowa State — One of the dumb things about trying to do this is when you consider this … how differently would Iowa State fans feel had two of those kicks gone in and the Cyclones were 4-1 heading into Farmageddon? I liked Kansas State all off-season. Offensive coordinator Collin Klein has done with Adrian Martinez exactly what I thought he would – that’s utilize the playmaker’s strengths and not ask him to do things that he won’t be successful at. Having said that, the Wildcats are a bit one-dimensional offensively, which is something I love matchup-wise in regards to Iowa State’s defense. I like the Cyclones to bounce back in a low-scoring slobber knocker. 

THE PICK: Iowa State 21, Kansas State 20