Basketball

BLOG: Big 12 Tournament scenarios heading into Saturday

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Every Big 12 team has only one game left to play during the regular season and there are still some Big 12 Tournament scenarios that need shaking out. The Iowa State Cyclones could still slide anywhere from the No. 3 down to the No. 6.

First of all, it can be said that the Cyclones will completely avoid the first day of the tournament. Texas Tech, Kansas State, Oklahoma State and TCU are already locked into the seven through ten spots like the Kansas Jayhawks are locked in as the conference champion.

If every game plays out according to the current conference standings with Texas, West Virginia, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas Tech all winning on Saturday, the Cyclones would be the No. 6 seed playing Oklahoma in the quarterfinals Thursday night at 8.

That scenario would set up a potential matchup with West Virginia or Texas Tech/TCU in the semifinals. Texas or Baylor would likely play Kansas in the other semifinal.

If Iowa State beats Kansas but the other four games stay the same, Iowa State would move up to the No. 4 seed for a date with the Texas Longhorns in the first game Thursday morning. That would also put the Cyclones in position to play Kansas again in the semifinals.

On that note, a win by the Baylor Bears over West Virginia would move Iowa State back into the No. 6 spot regardless of how they play in Allen Fieldhouse. It would also set them up for a quarterfinal matchup with the Mountaineers, which seems scary but actually would be a good matchup in this setting for Iowa State, in my opinion.

The least likely scenario would feature Iowa State and West Virginia winning, plus TCU beating Oklahoma, to set the Cyclones up as the No. 3 seed against Baylor in the quarterfinal.

Again, that’s highly unlikely and, in my honest opinion, it might be best for the Cyclones to go into the tournament as a lower seed and somewhat of an underdog.

There are still so many other ways this could play out but no matter what, we’ll most likely know Iowa State’s matchup before it even takes the floor at the Phog on Saturday afternoon.

Jared Stansbury

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Jared a native of Clarinda, Iowa, started as the Cyclone Fanatic intern in August 2013, primarily working as a videographer until starting on the women’s basketball beat prior to the 2014-15 season. Upon earning his Bachelor’s degree in Journalism and Mass Communication from Iowa State in May 2016, Jared was hired as the site’s full-time staff writer, taking over as the primary day-to-day reporter on football and men’s basketball. He was elevated to the position of managing editor in January 2020. He is a regular contributor on 1460 KXNO in Des Moines and makes regular guest appearances on radio stations across the Midwest. Jared resides in Ankeny with his four-year-old puggle, Lolo.

@cyclonefanatic