An unbeaten, ranked team at home hosting a 1-3 team who lost to a FCS team..... sounds like a recipe for a pretty big line.
It also happens to sound like the recipe for a Paul Rhoads upset. I enjoyed that graphic Thurs night about only 4 teams that have beaten a ranked team on the road in each of the last 3 seasons (ISU, Bama, Oregon, tOSU?)
Vegas would lose a lot of money if it only looked at win loss records. Texas Tech beat SMU, SF Austin, TCU, Texas State, and Kansas. Those 5 teams have a combined 10 wins. 6 of those are against FCS opponents and TCU played SMU, so one of those teams had to win.
Those stats are even worse than I thought they would be.
TTech may well beat us this week and it might even be the most likely outcome, but I am in no way scared.