Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

cykadelic2

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I don't see how that could be a concern since their Grant of Rights ends in 2024. Unless a new one is signed, no schools owe anything to any other school in that conference. If all the other schools find a power conference home and those two don't, there is nothing they can do.
Yeah, the GOR does expire but that won’t prevent political pressure being applied in OR and WA to prevent relegation of those schools. Like UCLA, both Oregon and Washington face the prospect of sharing their future payouts with the other state flagships if both get relegated. And I doubt anyone in the college athletic administration space really wants blood on their hands for being the primary decision maker(s) for their relegation destruction.
 

Gorm

With any luck we will be there by Tuesday.
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I don't see how that could be a concern since their Grant of Rights ends in 2024. Unless a new one is signed, no schools owe anything to any other school in that conference. If all the other schools find a power conference home and those two don't, there is nothing they can do.

So you are saying that Washington won't have political pressure to do everything they can to assist Washington State?
 

SCNCY

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So you are saying that Washington won't have political pressure to do everything they can to assist Washington State?

They might, but so far, that political pressure is just for the airwaves. I'd be interested to see what happens in California, but again, if history repeats itself, it'll just be talk.
 

Gorm

With any luck we will be there by Tuesday.
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They might, but so far, that political pressure is just for the airwaves. I'd be interested to see what happens in California, but again, if history repeats itself, it'll just be talk.

Has history really repeated itself?

When in history has a large state school been "demoted" by a conference break up?

Oklahoma's BOR voted many years ago to allow the individual school presidents to make athletic conference decisions. So Oklahoma leaving from Oklahoma State doesn't count.


Also, the Southwest Conference breakup doens't count either. All public schools had "landing spots." TCU, Rice, SMU, Houston...these were all small private universities back in 1991. And we all know the political backroom dealings that happened to ensure the state schools and a private school had a landing spot.
 

Statefan10

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Has history really repeated itself?

When in history has a large state school been "demoted" by a conference break up?

Oklahoma's BOR voted many years ago to allow the individual school presidents to make athletic conference decisions. So Oklahoma leaving from Oklahoma State doesn't count.


Also, the Southwest Conference breakup doens't count either. All public schools had "landing spots." TCU, Rice, SMU, Houston...these were all small private universities back in 1991. And we all know the political backroom dealings that happened to ensure the state schools and a private school had a landing spot.
I mean are they really being demoted? The conference itself is obviously losing fire power which will kill off a power conference essentially, but Wazzu and Oregon State aren't going to the MWC. They're going to stay in the Pac 12 and the Pac 12 will have to make the correct moves no different than the Big 12 has had to make moves over the last 10 years in order to stay at P5 status.

It's essentially the same thing that happened with OSU and Texas leaving last year. No one knew what was going to happen to our conference as a whole or the remaining teams. Say ISU, OSU, Kansas and KSU were all rumored to go to the ACC last year, that would put a school like TTU in the same boat as Wazzu and Oregon State right now and the legislature wouldn't have been able to do anything.
 

20eyes

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Has history really repeated itself?

When in history has a large state school been "demoted" by a conference break up?

Oklahoma's BOR voted many years ago to allow the individual school presidents to make athletic conference decisions. So Oklahoma leaving from Oklahoma State doesn't count.


Also, the Southwest Conference breakup doens't count either. All public schools had "landing spots." TCU, Rice, SMU, Houston...these were all small private universities back in 1991. And we all know the political backroom dealings that happened to ensure the state schools and a private school had a landing spot.
UConn had risen up to join the Big East and was a casualty of realignment. And maybe Cincinnati too, right? Neither of those programs have the history or football gravitas that Wazzu & Oregon St. have but I think technically they qualify...
 

Gorm

With any luck we will be there by Tuesday.
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UConn had risen up to join the Big East and was a casualty of realignment. And maybe Cincinnati too, right? Neither of those programs have the history or football gravitas that Wazzu & Oregon St. have but I think technically they qualify...

Meh, I'm not sure they count either. Uconn wasn't even FBS until the late 90's.

Also, their AD was on record saying they might drop football. LOL

Cinncy has never been considered a "Power 5" school.
 

isucy86

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The weird part is that now most of those schools found their way back into power conferences. The final 4 left outs are
Rice - Horrendous
SMU - Top 3 candidate for the Pac 12 and probably high on the Big 12s list if we need to dip back into the G5 pool again.
USF - Horendous
UCONN - Was always around the Big 12 expansion talk until they gave up on football

Theres some buzz out today that you are incorrect

With TCU already in Big12, the SMU to Big12 talk makes very little sense. Any adds go forward by the Big12 need to expand our footprint. Same can be said for Rice with our addition of Houston. One weakness of the current Big12 is it's 10 schools in 5 states.

In 2025 the only G5 schools that makes sense for Big12 would be SDSU and maybe Boise State if the Big12 adds 4-6 Pac12 schools. Otherwise its a waiting game if the ACC gets poached by the SEC & Big10. I even think the ship has sailed on Memphis State as ACC schools like Pitt, Louisville, Va Tech would be better options for the Big12
 

aeroclone

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So you are saying that Washington won't have political pressure to do everything they can to assist Washington State?
I guess I didn't see much political pressure in Iowa or Kansas ten years ago when it looked like KSU and ISU could be left out in the cold. I don't see anything going on to try and help OSU with OU leaving. And ultimately I don't think California is going to do anything to UCLA either. I think we tend to overestimate the likelihood of political influence here just due to our history with Baylor slipping in to the B12. But that is really looking like the outlier and not the rule.
 

isucy86

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Yeah, the GOR does expire but that won’t prevent political pressure being applied in OR and WA to prevent relegation of those schools. Like UCLA, both Oregon and Washington face the prospect of sharing their future payouts with the other state flagships if both get relegated. And I doubt anyone in the college athletic administration space really wants blood on their hands for being the primary decision maker(s) for their relegation destruction.
IMO this argument might gain some media buzz in California, but I don't see that happening in Oregon & Washington. Especially, due to the fact that Big10 would never consider OSU & WSU. Pretty hard for OR & WA politicians to pressure Big12 to take OSU & WSU, when Oregon & Washington are targeted for Big10.

I have a tough time believing the Commissioners in Big10, SEC or Big12 are losing sleep over the relegation of any current P5 school. They can always blame TV Execs for saying the relegated schools don't have enough value. After all this capitalist America and not socialist North Korea :)
 

FriendlySpartan

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With TCU already in Big12, the SMU to Big12 talk makes very little sense. Any adds go forward by the Big12 need to expand our footprint. Same can be said for Rice with our addition of Houston. One weakness of the current Big12 is it's 10 schools in 5 states.

In 2025 the only G5 schools that makes sense for Big12 would be SDSU and maybe Boise State if the Big12 adds 4-6 Pac12 schools. Otherwise its a waiting game if the ACC gets poached by the SEC & Big10. I even think the ship has sailed on Memphis State as ACC schools like Pitt, Louisville, Va Tech would be better options for the Big12
I think the Big12 is too smart at this point to add anymore G5 schools. Only reason the first 4 were added was to keep the conference from imploding. Having 33% of the conference being former G5 schools already isn’t a great look, it should be P5 schools or nothing for any future expansion.
 

CyCrazy

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I think the Big12 is too smart at this point to add anymore G5 schools. Only reason the first 4 were added was to keep the conference from imploding. Having 33% of the conference being former G5 schools already isn’t a great look, it should be P5 schools or nothing for any future expansion.

And it will.
 

snowcraig2.0

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I think the Big12 is too smart at this point to add anymore G5 schools. Only reason the first 4 were added was to keep the conference from imploding. Having 33% of the conference being former G5 schools already isn’t a great look, it should be P5 schools or nothing for any future expansion.
SDSU is the only G5 that the Big 12 might look at IMO.
 

State2015

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I’m at the point where I don’t want the Big 12 to expand, purely because our path to the playoff is easier with less teams in the conference. But seeing the B12 eat up the 4 corner schools would be so glorious to see Mandel and the PAC12 media eat crow so I’m rooting for expansion
 

JM4CY

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I’m at the point where I don’t want the Big 12 to expand, purely because our path to the playoff is easier with less teams in the conference. But seeing the B12 eat up the 4 corner schools would be so glorious to see Mandel and the PAC12 media eat crow so I’m rooting for expansion
If it makes us more money, then I am completely on board.
 
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Gorm

With any luck we will be there by Tuesday.
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I guess I didn't see much political pressure in Iowa or Kansas ten years ago when it looked like KSU and ISU could be left out in the cold. I don't see anything going on to try and help OSU with OU leaving. And ultimately I don't think California is going to do anything to UCLA either. I think we tend to overestimate the likelihood of political influence here just due to our history with Baylor slipping in to the B12. But that is really looking like the outlier and not the rule.

In 2010 The Iowa BOR requested that the University of Iowa president do everything they could to do to get Iowa State a spot in the Big 10. That is an example of in-state political pressure. This info was from the infamous Gordon Gee Ohio State booster meeting audio that leaked, and not some message board rumor. That was the same audio were Gordon Gee said (In reference to ND): "You just can't trust those damn Catholics."

That is type of pressure I'm talking about.
 

alarson

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In 2010 The Iowa BOR requested that the University of Iowa president do everything they could to do to get Iowa State a spot in the Big 10. That is an example of in-state political pressure. This info was from the infamous Gordon Gee Ohio State booster meeting audio that leaked, and not some message board rumor.

That is type of pressure I'm talking about.

So.. token efforts?

Everyone knew that the Iowa president had no leverage there and wasn't going to mount a serious effort.
 
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