According to his numbers, he expects the Big ten and SEC to rule it with ACC in third and Big XII in fourth and probably not getting one. If he is being realistic to how the breakdown would be in a slanted playoff, I would guess 4 to SEC, 3 to Big 10, and one to the ACC (If he wants them to be the third in line).
They originally thought OuT would be 50% of our TV markets, now they think maybe only a 5MM hit. I would guess the PAC would be in that 30 MM area.
As someone has said, this is not true, and is not what Navigate had in their model (what he made the updates on). The Big 12 was basically equal with PAC and ACC in assumed CFP berths. ACC was avg of 1.4 CPF berths, Big 12 avg of 1.5, and PAC avg of 1.6. Maybe a little hit in total CFP +NY6, but not too material. And likely optimistic for PAC, given the Pac12's steady decline.
But it is clear that if they were peers of the Big 12 with USC/UCLA, they are less peers now, and that a Big 18 is much stronger position to pull autos and at-larges in whatever CFP format, than each conference going alone.