Pass Rush: 2023 vs. 2024, and 2025 Opportunities to improve

cymonw1980

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I think an improved pass rush is possible in 2025 and could be a key to defensive improvement next year.

Since Iowa State sends fewer pass rushers than the rest of the league and every team faces a different number of passing plays, it can be hard to compare raw stats across teams without context. I tried to add some context to ISU's 2024 Pass Rush performance, compares to 2023, and some opportunities & challenges we may have in 2025.

The table below breaks down the pass rush stats and ISU's B12 Rank and ISU vs. Avg B12 Team:

1) Number of pass rushers per pass play (ISU send 0.6 fewer pass rushers than the B12 average and ranks 15th in pass rushers sent per pass play; they also faced 60 fewer, or 13% fewer, pass plays than the average B12 team in 2024; both of these impact raw stats like sacks and pressures)
2) Total Sacks
3) Total Pressures (Sacks+QB Hits+QB Hurries)
4) Pressure% (Total Pressures / Total Pass Rush Snaps, ISU was 4th)
5) Sack% (Total Sacks / Total Pass Rush Snaps, ISU was 13th)
6) %Pass Plays w/Pressure (Total Pressures / Total Pass Plays)
7) %Pass Plays w/Sack (Total Sacks / Total Pass Plays)

1750358843299.png

A couple things I would note:

First, ISU sends fewer pass rushers and this scheme accounts for much of the gap between ISU and the rest of the B12 in terms of pressure and % of plays with pressure. You can see, even in what I would consider a down year for ISU we were 4th in Pressure% which normalizes for both number of pass rushers sent each play and number of pass plays faced by a defense.

Second, ISU converted fewer pressures into sacks. Sacks can be volatile year to year. ISU only converted about 10% of it's pressures into sacks in 2024 (very low). B12 Average was 14%, top teams were close to 20%. Last year ISU was at about 13%. So, a bad sack year for sure, they ranked 13th in sack% (sacks/pass rush snaps).


Looking at 2024 vs. 2023, we can see our pressure% improved, but our sack rate declined. Looking more closely, you can see this was driven by the LB position, where Caleb Bacon and Will McLaughlin were missed. In 2023, they combined for 4 sacks and 24 pressures on 101 pass rush snaps. The two combined for a Pressure% of 24%, and a Sack% of 4% (much higher than the 2024 ISU averages of 10.4% and 1.1%).

1750360389474.png

Change in LB Production Year to Year:

1750360702709.png


2025 Opportunities & Challenges:

LB

Iowa State's LBs are an important part of ISU's pass rush. They accounted for about 1/3 of the team's pressures and sacks in 2023. But in 2024, this dropped to about 1/4 of the teams production. Getting Bacon and McLaughlin back in 2025 should boost the production from the LB's in 2025.

EDGE:
On the edge, ISU lost 4 of their top 5 pass rushers from a year ago. Three transfers will attempt to replace them along with other younger players on ISU's roster. Vontroy Malone (Tulsa), Cannon Butler (UNI), and Tamatoa McDonough (Yale) will all be competing for time. Their stats were similar to the players we are losing but they will need to do it at the B12 level (Pressure% 9.7% v. 9.5%, Sack% 1.2% vs. 1.1%). One note on Butler, although he only had 1 sack on 25 pressures in 2024, he has 8 sacks on 68 pressures over his 3 seasons at UNI. So, last year he had a low pressure to sack conversion rate (4%) vs. his career average (12%).


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Aclone

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Nice analysis

You’re missing a big piece of the puzzle, though. Coach Rasheed flat out alluded to it this spring.

The linebacker injuries didn’t just lead to a lack of extra pass rushers, they affected every other unit on defense.

In the case of the DL, that meant that they had to stay at home, because they couldn’t count on the linebackers behind them being where there they were supposed to be, and filling the ensuing gaps.

Matter of fact, when he talked about having experienced linebackers behind them this year so that his guys could cut loose…well, I won’t say that he was drooling, but Coach Sheed had a really, really big grin on his face.

All those injuries didn’t just break the linebacking corps, it broke everything.

If I were to guess, if Jon Heacock considered retiring at any point, redeeming his defense this fall had a lot to do with him coming back.

Watch the ‘25 defense lead the league in every major category.

I almost feel sorry for the other teams on our schedule.

Almost. Mwa-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha!!!
 
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cyclone1209

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I think an improved pass rush is possible in 2025 and could be a key to defensive improvement next year.

Since Iowa State sends fewer pass rushers than the rest of the league and every team faces a different number of passing plays, it can be hard to compare raw stats across teams without context. I tried to add some context to ISU's 2024 Pass Rush performance, compares to 2023, and some opportunities & challenges we may have in 2025.

The table below breaks down the pass rush stats and ISU's B12 Rank and ISU vs. Avg B12 Team:

1) Number of pass rushers per pass play (ISU send 0.6 fewer pass rushers than the B12 average and ranks 15th in pass rushers sent per pass play; they also faced 60 fewer, or 13% fewer, pass plays than the average B12 team in 2024; both of these impact raw stats like sacks and pressures)
2) Total Sacks
3) Total Pressures (Sacks+QB Hits+QB Hurries)
4) Pressure% (Total Pressures / Total Pass Rush Snaps, ISU was 4th)
5) Sack% (Total Sacks / Total Pass Rush Snaps, ISU was 13th)
6) %Pass Plays w/Pressure (Total Pressures / Total Pass Plays)
7) %Pass Plays w/Sack (Total Sacks / Total Pass Plays)

View attachment 151365

A couple things I would note:

First, ISU sends fewer pass rushers and this scheme accounts for much of the gap between ISU and the rest of the B12 in terms of pressure and % of plays with pressure. You can see, even in what I would consider a down year for ISU we were 4th in Pressure% which normalizes for both number of pass rushers sent each play and number of pass plays faced by a defense.

Second, ISU converted fewer pressures into sacks. Sacks can be volatile year to year. ISU only converted about 10% of it's pressures into sacks in 2024 (very low). B12 Average was 14%, top teams were close to 20%. Last year ISU was at about 13%. So, a bad sack year for sure, they ranked 13th in sack% (sacks/pass rush snaps).


Looking at 2024 vs. 2023, we can see our pressure% improved, but our sack rate declined. Looking more closely, you can see this was driven by the LB position, where Caleb Bacon and Will McLaughlin were missed. In 2023, they combined for 4 sacks and 24 pressures on 101 pass rush snaps. The two combined for a Pressure% of 24%, and a Sack% of 4% (much higher than the 2024 ISU averages of 10.4% and 1.1%).

View attachment 151368

Change in LB Production Year to Year:

View attachment 151369


2025 Opportunities & Challenges:

LB

Iowa State's LBs are an important part of ISU's pass rush. They accounted for about 1/3 of the team's pressures and sacks in 2023. But in 2024, this dropped to about 1/4 of the teams production. Getting Bacon and McLaughlin back in 2025 should boost the production from the LB's in 2025.

EDGE:
On the edge, ISU lost 4 of their top 5 pass rushers from a year ago. Three transfers will attempt to replace them along with other younger players on ISU's roster. Vontroy Malone (Tulsa), Cannon Butler (UNI), and Tamatoa McDonough (Yale) will all be competing for time. Their stats were similar to the players we are losing but they will need to do it at the B12 level (Pressure% 9.7% v. 9.5%, Sack% 1.2% vs. 1.1%). One note on Butler, although he only had 1 sack on 25 pressures in 2024, he has 8 sacks on 68 pressures over his 3 seasons at UNI. So, last year he had a low pressure to sack conversion rate (4%) vs. his career average (12%).


View attachment 151370

View attachment 151371
Great write up. I will add some thoughts to what you described and I agree with the content.

- We had poor sack numbers last year in part because we also had a bad rush defense last year. Why would teams throw if they were running the ball at will? Think back to Kansas, Arizona St, Iowa, and other games where we got torched on the ground. We need a better rush defense to get better sack numbers this year. Which we should.

- Portal DE's. I'm convinced we went out and got the Yale DE , Canon Butler from UNI, and the Tulsa DE to send a message to guys like Samuel Same and Ikenna Ezeogu at defensive end. Samuel Same and Ikenna Izequo were both 3 star guys who frankly haven't done much here. If they aren't going to produce, it's a move we HAD to make with portal additions.
- Speaking of Ikenna Ezeogu at DE. Chris Williams has mentioend this and I agree, he is about 6"5 270, he either needs to add weight to become an inside guy, or needs to shed weight and be a true Defensive End. I think he is stuck as a tweener right now.

- I want to see less 3 man down fronts, because I think A) it's a passive defensive scheme and B) the Big 12 knows how to attack it now (see Kansas is 3-0 against us in the last 3 matchups).

- Interior of the D Line I feel really good about. Zaimir Hawk was really good at times last year, Dom Orange we know has NFL level ability, and the staff likes Alijah Carnell.

- DE: I'm looking for a surprise this year to contribute and get 7 sacks out of nowhere. Could that be Tre Verdon, Malik Verdon's brother who was a pretty good HS recruit? Could that be Jack Limbaugh, freshman DE who picked us over Kansas, K State, Nebraska, Missour, and Iowa? M
My personal pick here is Jack Limbaugh plays as a true freshman and is too good to keep off the field. He looks a grown ass man who has enough speed to play, and instantly leap frog some older DEs who haven't done much.
 
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Aclone

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Great write up. I will add some thoughts to .

- Portal DE's. I'm convinced we went out and got the Yale DE , Canon Butler from UNI, and the Tulsa DE to send a message to guys like Samuel Same and Ikenna Ezeogu at defensive end.

- I want to see less 3 man down fronts,

- Interior of the D Line I feel really good about. Zaimir Hawk was really good at times last year, Dom Orange we know has NFL level ability, and the staff likes Alijah Carnell.
Please pardon my snips, it was a long post.

There were a few things from Spring ball it looks like you missed.

A. The coaches are fully expecting Ezeogu to be on a par with Big Citrus this fall. Ike himself said he’ll be lining up all over—the same way they used will.

B. Alijah Carnell slid out to the strongside end, with Jace Gilbert. Coach Rasheed really liked both this spring.

C. Ka’Mori Moore enrolled early. Coach Sheed was hoping the lights would come on this spring, so he might be the third NT—or JC transfer Markell Chapman. Most likely the latter, but still a nice combo.

D. Cannon Butler was strictly a really good run stuffer at UNI, and comments I ran across by his coach suggested they werrn’t expecting anything more.

E. Trey Verdon enrolled early—unlike Limbaugh—and was impressing the coaches. On Cyning Day, he was compared more than once to Will.

G. Vontroy Malone also enrolled early with Butler, and got lots of positive comments from the coaches. I’d guess that all three put on some muscle this Spring.

H. If I were to guess, McDonough will start opposite Ezeogu. However that works out. Whenever he’s up to speed.