Final percent chance to win each round tournament simulations (winner's bracket, Hawaii with HCA):
KenPom-based
Sagarin Predictor-based
KenPom-based
Seed | Team | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 |
1 | Iowa_St | 84.06 | 63.49 | 37.88 |
2 | Boise_St | 51.39 | 18.97 | 7.65 |
3 | Saint_Marys | 87.38 | 60.51 | 35.15 |
4 | Oregon_St | 40.28 | 10.41 | 3.08 |
5 | Akron | 59.72 | 20.27 | 7.50 |
6 | South_Carolina | 12.62 | 3.09 | 0.60 |
7 | Hawaii | 48.61 | 17.43 | 6.83 |
8 | George_Mason | 15.93 | 5.83 | 1.31 |
Sagarin Predictor-based
Seed | Team | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 |
1 | Iowa_St | 93.31 | 78.32 | 56.22 |
2 | Boise_St | 43.02 | 16.06 | 4.29 |
3 | Saint_Marys | 85.30 | 55.24 | 23.55 |
4 | Oregon_St | 32.84 | 4.17 | 1.01 |
5 | Akron | 67.16 | 15.40 | 6.00 |
6 | South_Carolina | 14.70 | 3.73 | 0.50 |
7 | Hawaii | 56.98 | 24.96 | 8.04 |
8 | George_Mason | 6.69 | 2.10 | 0.39 |