***Official 2024 Weather Thread***

Herkster

Active Member
Feb 12, 2016
444
241
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Weather Underground has 3" forecasted for Thursday night, then 1" Saturday night, 10,3" Sunday, and 2.3" Monday. Still a ways out though.
 

wxman1

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Jul 2, 2008
19,937
16,315
113
Cedar Rapids
Regarding the weekend into next week from DVN NWS

"Saturday through Monday...Current ensemble trends suggest there will be Saturday a lull day in between systems, while some type of longer wave troughing and rounding upper jet energy organize upstream
acrs the western CONUS and then emerges into the Plains early Sunday into Monday. As there are long range signs of a mild moist conveyor streaming northward off the western Gulf to the lee of this trof complex, precip chances may really ramp up from late Sat night or Sunday into early next week although the last model runs have slowed this system down slightly. But with the spread between model solutions and ensembles, there is very low confidence in QPF amounts, placements, timing and types of precipitation at this juncture in the game. The one consistent signal is that there may be a significant storm system traversing the Plains and into the Upper Midwest this weekend into early next week."
 

RoseClone

Well-Known Member
Oct 18, 2006
2,828
2,464
113
Weather Underground has 3" forecasted for Thursday night, then 1" Saturday night, 10,3" Sunday, and 2.3" Monday. Still a ways out though.
I'm going to assume you are in Minnesota, Wisconsin or North Dakota. Tell me I'm right.
 

cydsho

Well-Known Member
Apr 10, 2006
4,369
5,827
113
Omaha, NE
Regarding the weekend into next week from DVN NWS

"Saturday through Monday...Current ensemble trends suggest there will be Saturday a lull day in between systems, while some type of longer wave troughing and rounding upper jet energy organize upstream
acrs the western CONUS and then emerges into the Plains early Sunday into Monday. As there are long range signs of a mild moist conveyor streaming northward off the western Gulf to the lee of this trof complex, precip chances may really ramp up from late Sat night or Sunday into early next week although the last model runs have slowed this system down slightly. But with the spread between model solutions and ensembles, there is very low confidence in QPF amounts, placements, timing and types of precipitation at this juncture in the game. The one consistent signal is that there may be a significant storm system traversing the Plains and into the Upper Midwest this weekend into early next week."
mad-ned.gif
 

nfrine

Well-Known Member
Mar 31, 2006
9,882
12,060
113
Nearby
Weather Underground has 3" forecasted for Thursday night, then 1" Saturday night, 10,3" Sunday, and 2.3" Monday. Still a ways out though.
Tell your significant other they are getting 12" over the weekend. See if they believe you.
 

Cyclonepride

Thought Police
Staff member
Apr 11, 2006
98,825
62,388
113
55
A pineapple under the sea
www.oldschoolradical.com
Regarding the weekend into next week from DVN NWS

"Saturday through Monday...Current ensemble trends suggest there will be Saturday a lull day in between systems, while some type of longer wave troughing and rounding upper jet energy organize upstream
acrs the western CONUS and then emerges into the Plains early Sunday into Monday. As there are long range signs of a mild moist conveyor streaming northward off the western Gulf to the lee of this trof complex, precip chances may really ramp up from late Sat night or Sunday into early next week although the last model runs have slowed this system down slightly. But with the spread between model solutions and ensembles, there is very low confidence in QPF amounts, placements, timing and types of precipitation at this juncture in the game. The one consistent signal is that there may be a significant storm system traversing the Plains and into the Upper Midwest this weekend into early next week."
Meh, my weather app has me with 40-50 degree highs, and I don't have to scoop rain.
 

MNCYWX

Well-Known Member
Feb 7, 2010
2,300
973
113
WDM
I think it'll be difficult for central Iowa to tiptoe through this next seven days without seeing at least some snow. Most likely towards the tail end of this larger system early next week as a second wave gets absorbed into the main low.

I know 3" probabilities don't sound like much but for a week long stretch in the ensembles it is statistically significant.

Minnesota is going to get walloped by the way.
 

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wxman1

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Jul 2, 2008
19,937
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Cedar Rapids
I think it'll be difficult for central Iowa to tiptoe through this next seven days without seeing at least some snow. Most likely towards the tail end of this larger system early next week as a second wave gets absorbed into the main low.

I know 3" probabilities don't sound like much but for a week long stretch in the ensembles it is statistically significant.

Minnesota is going to get walloped by the way.
@BoxsterCy Do I still have right of first refusal on the cars?
 
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