***2025 Tennis Thread***

[GoHawks]

I think a lot of it comes down to whose body holds up better over time.

Huge part of it you're correct. Also I think advantage to Sinner with 2 of 4 slams being hardcourts. They both can win anywhere though

 

[Letterkenny]

I said it here when sinner was in control of French open then Alcaraz came back but it wouldn't suprise me at all and I almost expect Sinner to wind up with more Slams. I'm like 51/49 though, it'll be a great rivalry and interesting aspect to follow later in careers.

My only thing with Sinner is I don't see his body holding up as long. There is some history of shorter guys up to about 6'2" playing well into their mid 30's with little to no drop off. The likelihood of a 6'-4" guy doing it is a lot less, especially with Sinner's build.

Even back in the day, a guy like Agassi lasted a lot longer than taller, lankier players.

I look at long lanky guys like Medvedev and Zverev. They're slowing down in their upper 20's already. Granted, Sinner is way ahead of them, but I think his movement will slow down at an earlier age than Alcaraz'. Even then he's still got probably 6-7 peak years left though.

 

[Letterkenny]

Huge part of it you're correct. Also I think advantage to Sinner with 2 of 4 slams being hardcourts. They both can win anywhere though

Yeah, Alcaraz has to perform better at the U.S and Australia going forward. He clearly has the ability to win those, just hadn't been that good at either major for some reason the last couple years.

I will say, going into last year's U.S. Open, I think Alcaraz was just 100% burned out. Won Roland Garros, then Wimbledon, then played both doubles and singles in the Olympics, losing in the Gold Medal match. Then had a week turn around to play in Cincinnati followed immediately by the U.S. Open. I think it was too much for him. I'll be curious if he skips one of the North American hard court events to give himself some rest this year.

 

[GoHawks]

My only thing with Sinner is I don't see his body holding up as long. There is some history of shorter guys up to about 6'2" playing well into their mid 30's with little to no drop off. The likelihood of a 6'-4" guy doing it is a lot less, especially with Sinner's build.

Even back in the day, a guy like Agassi lasted a lot longer than taller, lankier players.

I look at long lanky guys like Medvedev and Zverev. They're slowing down in their upper 20's already. Granted, Sinner is way ahead of them, but I think his movement will slow down at an earlier age than Alcaraz'. Even then he's still got probably 6-7 peak years left though.

Very good point especially when we're forecasting years and years down line. I do wonder how much of those 2 decline is due to a lot of brutal losses and not climbing the moutain. Medvedev does have a slam but he's finished 2nd numerous times. Both guys give me mentally exhausted feeling right now more so then a physical decline. Still Sinner's probably going to be more injured if I had to bet just given his build as you mentioned.