Torviks initial projections (post #6) were interesting.
1. What they had, which included Williams, has an offensive output of 71.8. Our top 10 contributors last year totaled 68. Without Williams and no other changes, we would be 64.6. So…in short…with Williams, Torvik saw us as a better team offensively than we were last year. Without Williams, down about 3.4 points from last season.
2. Torvik expected Kalschuer and Grill to increase production by 3 and 3.4 pts respectively. I can see Grill’s increasing that much, maybe, but not Kalschuer (hope I’m wrong)
3. Torvik has Kunc down 0.6 pts. That will be wrong. Kunc will provide higher offensive production than last year, IMO
4. Holmes was predicted to produce about on par with his career average. Osun and Ward are down 1.2 and 1.9 respectively from their career averages. Williams was down 2.2 from his career average.
5. Torvik expects Osun, Tre King AND Hason Ward all to outproduce Conditt, and Osun by almost 4 pts
6. Jones is predicted to match his output from last year.
7. They don’t have Lipsey in their expected top 10 contributors, which is understandable given Williams was expected to be there. I wonder what they see from Lipsey without Williams? If they have 1.7 from Watson, I’d have to think Lipsey would be in the 3-4/5 point range if he is the primary ball handler. If we get 3 pts from Lipsey, we are virtually identical in the eye of Torvik compared to last year. 67.6 Torvik projections v 68 last year.
Fun with numbers, but I’d say our defense will be similar to last year, so perhaps we are basically the same team, statistically.
1. What they had, which included Williams, has an offensive output of 71.8. Our top 10 contributors last year totaled 68. Without Williams and no other changes, we would be 64.6. So…in short…with Williams, Torvik saw us as a better team offensively than we were last year. Without Williams, down about 3.4 points from last season.
2. Torvik expected Kalschuer and Grill to increase production by 3 and 3.4 pts respectively. I can see Grill’s increasing that much, maybe, but not Kalschuer (hope I’m wrong)
3. Torvik has Kunc down 0.6 pts. That will be wrong. Kunc will provide higher offensive production than last year, IMO
4. Holmes was predicted to produce about on par with his career average. Osun and Ward are down 1.2 and 1.9 respectively from their career averages. Williams was down 2.2 from his career average.
5. Torvik expects Osun, Tre King AND Hason Ward all to outproduce Conditt, and Osun by almost 4 pts
6. Jones is predicted to match his output from last year.
7. They don’t have Lipsey in their expected top 10 contributors, which is understandable given Williams was expected to be there. I wonder what they see from Lipsey without Williams? If they have 1.7 from Watson, I’d have to think Lipsey would be in the 3-4/5 point range if he is the primary ball handler. If we get 3 pts from Lipsey, we are virtually identical in the eye of Torvik compared to last year. 67.6 Torvik projections v 68 last year.
Fun with numbers, but I’d say our defense will be similar to last year, so perhaps we are basically the same team, statistically.
