I don't know how we will be without 32 and 18, but I will say 7 wins. If we had them, I'd be all in for 10 wins.
I see 8-4. Losses to OU and UT for sure, with the other 2 losses coming from some combo of Iowa, OSU, Baylor, TCU.
TCU, WV, Tech & Ok lite are in Oct so there's 4 W's
UNI - W
TOE - W
Louisiana - W
split with OU & TX
KS - W
KSU - W
11-1 going in to CCG
This kind of analysis is why Vegas wins. The team is a lot stronger year after year. The team as a whole continues to get better. Butler is gone, but Purdy has a whole year to develop rapport with his other WR. He will probably be better at spreading the ball around. ISU probably goes RB by committee to a degree, but the athletes they have and guys they are bringing are head and shoulders above the normal class with the exception of Troy Davis and others sprinkled in.10 wins after losing the best WR and RB in program history? Purdy is good but losing the safetiest of all safety blankets in Butler and Montgomery is going to take a big toll, IMO. 8 is realistic but 10 seems like a giant stretch.
I feel like there's going to be a LOT of disappointed people on here next year, that's what I predict.
Our offense was ranked something like 100th out of about 132 teams in the country this season, and that was with Montgomery and Butler.
Our entire offense was basically handing the ball to Montgomery and expecting him to either elude tacklers or run them over.... or.... throwing up lobs to Butler. That was it. And luckily for us, both Montgomery and Butler were good at that, but there are not many like them I'm afraid.
What I'm getting at is that our offense sucked this year, and will be losing basically our only two options we had. Now.... there are talented guys behind Montgomery and Butler, but who knows if they will be the NFL caliber players that Monty and Butler were. That's a LOT to expect. In order to be succesful on offense, CMC needs to revamp the offense or hire someone that knows how. We don't even know how to do the simplest things schematically, like throwing a quick slant across the middle to beat a blitz, or throw a quick screen to beat a blitz, or run simple crossing routes with guys like Jones, Akers, Milton.... or bring them in motion and hand them the ball to stress the edges of the defense, etc.
I think the defense will be fine, possibly even better, so that's a big plus, but this offense will have a TON to prove. The numbers don't lie, it was really bad this year, and that was with two NFL players at RB and WR.
I will be happy if we can repeat what we did this year next year. 8 wins would be a really good year with losing our two best players IMO.
Hard disagree on not having the smarts on the offensive side of the ball.I don't see our OL improving much. They didn't improve from year 2 to year 3 under CMC, so I'm not holding my breath.
And if they aren't improved, then which RB on our roster can get the ball handed to them with no hole whatsoever and make positive yards? I'm hoping one of the true freshman next year can do it.
And which WR will we be able to just lob fly patterns to over and over again and come down with it when Butler is gone? That was probably 3/4ths of our passing offense this year because schematically we can't come up with anything else like most teams can.
As I've said many times, I'm really high on the defense for next season. I think they will be really good. But watching this offense just irritates the hell out of me. It is terrible. And I'm not saying we don't have talent, we do, but we don't have the smarts on the sidelines offensively to get it done. CMC is a defensive guy.... always has been. We desperately need an offensive guru designing and calling plays on our sideline.... period!