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  1. QBEagles

    Bracketology 2024

    It won't do anything to our metrics. Any SOS bump would be negligible, and they're solidly a Quad 2 win either way. And more practically if the committee had discussions about the last #1 seed, they likely already happened. They're probably dealing with the bid thief chaos and bracketing today...
  2. QBEagles

    Net Rankings vs. SOR

    Even if you take margin of victory out of the equation, the Big 12 is still 1st in ELO and RPI. And beating up on weak opponents was the opposite of how you'd want to manipulate RPI. Running up the score does technically help in efficiency metrics, but it's not that significant. And regardless...
  3. QBEagles

    Bracketology 2024

    I'm a fan of SOR-type rankings, but they wouldn't do all that well compared to most bracket matrix predictions. They're way higher on mid majors than the committee. The ESPN version has Dayton as a 2, Indiana St as a 5, and GCU as a 6 right now. Mostly because SOR gives some credit to teams that...
  4. QBEagles

    Will ISU make a Bowl Game? YES! Which One? LIBERTY BOWL 12/29

    I think the only way the Big 12 gets two in the NY6 is if OSU beats Texas and Texas gets an at-large. OU is too far back to get in, and since the Sugar is a playoff game it doesn't matter if Texas makes the playoff. Texas Bowl is what I'm hoping for, but that's close to our best case scenario...
  5. QBEagles

    *** Official IOWA STATE vs #19 Kansas State Game(Day) Thread ***

    The NCAA FBS record book says the YPP record is 13.47, but it has a minimum 50 play requirement. We had 13.94 last night in 35 plays, 15.59 if you remove kneeldowns. Those are video game numbers. Defensively we only allowed 4.87 against a top 10-to-20 offense, which is actually pretty good for...
  6. QBEagles

    David Harris to Tulane

    If the USA Today data is right, no one is close to running a self sufficient AD unless they have a P5 TV deal. I assume schools write athletics off as a marketing expense that only breaks even for a few thanks to skyrocketing TV money. And yeah, what is Tulane doing? I get that he has...
  7. QBEagles

    Future Big 12 FB Opponents/Schedule Announced

    It would've been trivially easy to swap the third occurrence of ISU-WVU and KSU-Cincy to get a fourth round of ISU-KSU and WVU-Cincy. I'm surprised they didn't. That said, the only travel difference for WVU in that scenario is swapping out a trip to Ames with a trip to Cincy once every 8 years...
  8. QBEagles

    *** Official IOWA STATE vs Baylor Game(Day) Thread ***

    I think the second one is fine. Figure out if it's a one or two possession game early. Don't know about the first one though, and their clock management was awful. To be fair his 4th down calls were the only reason the game was close, but the bigger problem with Aranda is he's following the...
  9. QBEagles

    Do you want Campbell gone?

    I don't think he's truly on the hot seat until next year. Coaches who can win NY6 games are worth giving a longer leash to, and a lot of our issues are correctable. But I can't say I'm confident he'll do what it takes to fix the coaching issues at this point. He does do a lot of things well...
  10. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I believe it's written into their current media deal that the AZ schools have to kickoff in the late window at home in September unless they waive it. Still, getting an after dark game every week out of only five MT/PT teams is pushing it. Some weeks will only have two options, and if FOX takes...
  11. QBEagles

    Current and future Big 12 team's viewership numbers from 2022

    The Baylor 365 guys did a good breakdown of the 2013-2022 numbers. Cross-conference comparisons are tricky with different media deals, but it's the best analysis I've seen. https://sicem365.com/s/13048/how-many-viewers-did-your-ncaa-team-attract
  12. QBEagles

    Conference Schedules Post Realignment

    I don't see a clean way to do divisions (I won't use the p-word), but I agree the three rivals system is more flexible anyway. Play those three annually in football and everyone else 2 out of 4. Basketball would be home-and-home with rivals and everyone else once. I came up with: Team 1 2...
  13. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I put just about zero stock in the ACC exit rumors. FSU might try something desperate, but the risk/reward doesn't make sense for conferences and networks. None of the non-ND schools left add enough value to the existing P2. If people want to play internet lawyer though, the ACC GOR and its...
  14. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I can't imagine CW being worse than a failing RSN for the ACCs ~4th best game. You're mostly only getting fans with a rooting interest at that point, but at least they'll have a chance at a national audience. It does make me wonder if a 10-team PAC can work out a deal like: 1. Apple 2. ESPN...
  15. QBEagles

    Rank potential joiners to the Big 12

    My guess is the PAC and ACC (unhappily) stick together for this round and we dust off these lists around 2030, but just for fun: Home Runs (that are never coming) ND FSU Clemson UNC Miami Oregon Washington I guess I can come up with scenarios where the bottom three don't have other options...
  16. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    NBC probably ends up paying almost $75M more in pro rata if ND and a friend join the B1G anyway. I'm not a media exec, but I'd think they'd want 14-16 B1G games and 7 ND home games vs just 14-16 B1G games where they might have a chance to select ND.
  17. QBEagles

    Iowa universities betting scandal

    My guess with the number of people involved is the Iowa gaming commission cross-referenced the list of people with an account with a list of people not allowed to bet under NCAA rules. Probably not a vast conspiracy (unless something triggered them to do the search in the first place), just a...
  18. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I think UCF and Cincinnati got the nod because their FB programs are on another level compared to SDSU. Cincy's been to four BCS/NY6 bowls in the last 15 years including a playoff appearance. UCF's been to three in the last 10 with two wins, including going undefeated with the handicap of Scott...
  19. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Agree that you need at least 4 (preferably 6) schools to get a full late night slot to work, but the AZ schools actually prefer late kicks early in the year because it's hot as hell in Arizona when the sun is up. I think it's actually written into their media contract that they can only play...
  20. QBEagles

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I'd be surprised if we ended up with any Big East schools unless we let UConn in for football (and I don't think they're worth it at that price). Unlike the Pac they're not in an existential crisis at the moment, and I don't see them willingly joining a football league again given their previous...
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