Winter Jan 30-31, we're all going to die!

[BoxsterCy]

Me first apparently because I am further north but you guys in Iowa are goners to! Brrrr!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weat...x-targets-northern-us/?utm_term=.49a817d1c09d

NWS composite:

 

[bsaltyman]

I’m seeing -9 as the HIGH temperature next Wednesday. Damn that walk into Hilton is going to suck...

 

[MNCYWX]

Quite literally the airmass that normally sits over the North Pole. Consistency for the timeframe over the last couple runs of data has been impeccable for being out towards day 6. Everyone is playing it a bit conservative at the moment to account for model error and changes but certainly holds credence to a major burst of arctic air.

If it holds somewhat close to what's being depicted... it would be the coldest air seen since at least Feb 1996 for my area (SE MN) but I'm sure it'd be close for central Iowa too.



Shown above is modeled air temperature (colors) in Celsius a few thousand feet up in the atmosphere.

I have -25° for my Wednesday morning low in SE MN. Coldest I've seen in my 11 years up here was -26°... but if the above scenario were to hold we'd be talking about temps well into the -30s with a wind chill in the -60s for my area. Could it? Yes, but still too much time to change in the data to be that ballsy just yet. What can you pick up from this? Taking it all in, you can count on a very cold airmass... but specifically how cold it could be is still a bit uncertain.

 

[CloneGuy8]

Bring your pets indoors. Didn't we have an polar vortex a few years ago that had windchills around -40?

 

[dirtyninety]

I saw a movie about this like 10 years ago.....it should have won an academy award and a Kennedy honors necklace.
I am tired of climate.. they should pass a law to control climate or something, like, you know, a rule. This is all Americaners fault.

 

[RING4CY]

Just think, six months from now, it will feel 120 degrees warmer than it does now.

 

[aforstate]

Just think, six months from now, it will feel 120 degrees warmer than it does now.

I work outside year-round. It's crazy that we're able to adapt to such wild shifts.

 

[SECyclone]

Quite literally the airmass that normally sits over the North Pole. Consistency for the timeframe over the last couple runs of data has been impeccable for being out towards day 6. Everyone is playing it a bit conservative at the moment to account for model error and changes but certainly holds credence to a major burst of arctic air.

If it holds somewhat close to what's being depicted... it would be the coldest air seen since at least Feb 1996 for my area (SE MN) but I'm sure it'd be close for central Iowa too.

View attachment 61952

Shown above is modeled air temperature (colors) in Celsius a few thousand feet up in the atmosphere.

I have -25° for my Wednesday morning low in SE MN. Coldest I've seen in my 11 years up here was -26°... but if the above scenario were to hold we'd be talking about temps well into the -30s with a wind chill in the -60s for my area. Could it? Yes, but still too much time to change in the data to be that ballsy just yet. What can you pick up from this? Taking it all in, you can count on a very cold airmass... but specifically how cold it could be is still a bit uncertain.

What’s celsius

 

[SECyclone]

I saw a movie about this like 10 years ago.....it should have won an academy award and a Kennedy honors necklace.
I am tired of climate.. they should pass a law to control climate or something, like, you know, a rule. This is all Americaners fault.

Day after tomorrow is happening

 

[alarson]

Just think, six months from now, it will feel 120 degrees warmer than it does now.

Could be closer to 150 degrees when you consider wind chill\heat index.

 

[cowgirl836]

Quite literally the airmass that normally sits over the North Pole. Consistency for the timeframe over the last couple runs of data has been impeccable for being out towards day 6. Everyone is playing it a bit conservative at the moment to account for model error and changes but certainly holds credence to a major burst of arctic air.

If it holds somewhat close to what's being depicted... it would be the coldest air seen since at least Feb 1996 for my area (SE MN) but I'm sure it'd be close for central Iowa too.

View attachment 61952

Shown above is modeled air temperature (colors) in Celsius a few thousand feet up in the atmosphere.

I have -25° for my Wednesday morning low in SE MN. Coldest I've seen in my 11 years up here was -26°... but if the above scenario were to hold we'd be talking about temps well into the -30s with a wind chill in the -60s for my area. Could it? Yes, but still too much time to change in the data to be that ballsy just yet. What can you pick up from this? Taking it all in, you can count on a very cold airmass... but specifically how cold it could be is still a bit uncertain.

'96 eh? I think that must be the winter we have a video of my dad throwing a glass of hot water in the air and it freezing by the time it hit the ground. Might have to try that again.

 

[cowgirl836]

Just think, six months from now, it will feel 120 degrees warmer than it does now.

Isn't it weird how anything below like 25 you just think of as "cold". At least I do. The difference between 40 and 90? HUGE.

25 and -25.I suppose it'll feel a good bit colder but it doesn't seem like a 50F swing in the same way.

 

[BoxsterCy]

This is going to be off the scale for the BoxsterCy Basenji Dogenheit scale. Long time ago I decided that celsius and fahrenheit were inadequate for basenjis. Shared the copyright with Sasha and Simba the cold hating African dogs. Anyway, the forecast temperatures will be approaching absolute zero on the Basenji Dogenheit scale.

 

[FerShizzle]

Isn't it weird how anything below like 25 you just think of as "cold". At least I do. The difference between 40 and 90? HUGE.

25 and -25.I suppose it'll feel a good bit colder but it doesn't seem like a 50F swing in the same way.

Spend 10 minutes outside in -25 (don’t really do it, it’s dangerous) and you will see how incredibly colder it is than 25.

I think a more accurate comparison of heat should be equal in danger. 90-140?

 

[MNCYWX]

What’s celsius

The same as Fahrenheit at the temperatures I'm talking about.

 

[ca4cy]

What’s celsius

For some reason I'm hearing this in Ralph Wiggum's voice.

 

[cowgirl836]

Spend 10 minutes outside in -25 (don’t really do it, it’s dangerous) and you will see how incredibly colder it is than 25.

I think a more accurate comparison of heat should be equal in danger. 90-140?

I've been outside in cold weather, thanks. I'm aware that it's a lot colder. I just don't think of it in the same way as a swing from cool to hot.

 

[madguy30]

Isn't it weird how anything below like 25 you just think of as "cold". At least I do. The difference between 40 and 90? HUGE.

25 and -25.I suppose it'll feel a good bit colder but it doesn't seem like a 50F swing in the same way.

Respectively disagree.

25 is downright balmy compared to -25 for me. In 25 I can still go out with the tenkara rod and fish, run if able, etc.

-25, car to door is enough.

 

[cowgirl836]

Respectively disagree.

25 is downright balmy compared to -25 for me. In 25 I can still go out with the tenkara rod and fish, run if able, etc.

-25, car to door is enough.

Maybe it's just me. Like, I know it's cold and if I need to go out in it I bundle up but it just doesn't seem like a giant swing in the same way. Maybe because it's going from cold to colder instead of cold to hot. It's like that 1990 thing being closer to 1970 than to today kind of thing. IDK, I'll stop threadjacking now.

The true test of if it's cold is if I put long pants on to walk from the gym back to my car Tuesday night. I pretty much always just deal with the cold...maybe once I've put pants on. Probably should this week.

 

[ianoconnor]