Link: http://collegefootballnews.com/2017/09/texas-vs-iowa-state-prediction-game-preview
Texas vs. Iowa State Fearless Prediction & Game Preview
It was one of the big positives of the last season of the Charlie Strong era. The other wins over decent teams were dogfights, but handling Iowa State 27-6 was considered a big step.
Obviously, it all didn't work out for the former regime.
But Iowa State is playing better now, battling hard in a heartbreaking loss to Iowa, but blowing away Northern Iowa and Akron helped show that this is a different team.
This isn't the Iowa State that got shoved around last year.
And now Texas has a must-win moment. It's on the road, and it's an improved Cyclone team, but it's not okay for Texas to lose to Iowa State -- ever.
Battling hard against USC was cute, and the loss to Maryland could sort of be excused, but if the Longhorns lose this and start 1-3 with the lone win coming against San Jose State, with Kansas State, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State ahead, it'll be time to panic.
One Reason Why Texas Will Win
Iowa State is generating a pass rush, but the secondary is getting burnt, allowing ten touchdown passes and getting hit for 885 yards in the three games.
Whether it's Shane Buechele -- who will supposedly be the main man if he's healthy and ready to go -- or Sam Ehlinger, the passing attack should work.
For all the faults, and all the issues the Longhorns have had, they're owning third downs. The defense is 15th in the nation at third down stops, and the offense is doing its part converting 47% of the time.
Third downs are a problem for the Cyclones. They're 115th in third down defensive stops, and they're just okay at moving the chains.
One Reason Why Iowa State Will Win
Iowa State can put up big points.
That Iowa defense that gave Penn State fits was hit for 41 points by the Cyclone offense that scored 42 against Northern Iowa and 41 against Akron, and is showing enough balance to keep up the pace once this gets rolling.
QB Jacob Park has been stellar so far. He ripped up the Iowa defense for 347 yards and four scores, and completed 75% of his throws in the other two wins doing a great job with all the solid Cyclone receiving talent.
Helping the cause is an O line that's allowed just one sack so far. Texas will try to bring the pressure, but the Iowa State line will win its share of battles.
What's Going to Happen
It was the common refrain throughout last week -- weird things happen in Iowa at night. The Hawkeyes almost pulled off the upset over Penn State, and the bizarre will keep on going.
Iowa State really and truly is good enough to win this straight up. It has the offensive balance, the defensive aggressiveness, and the veterans in place to pull it off. Throw in the Thursday night atmosphere and the charged up environment, and it's going to be a breakthrough day for the Matt Campbell era.
Prediction
Iowa State 41, Texas 38