NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high school

[FunCyd]

The Top 100 players that were drafted in 2013

17 were five-star prospects
23 were four-star prospects
33 were three-star prospects
27 were two-star prospects

 

[Rabbuk]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

This doesn't surprise me or tell the story I think you're trying to tell. For every 4 and 5 star there are 10(pure guess) 2 and 3 stars.

 

[DMCYFAN]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

I don't know the exact numbers for how many of each star there are but:
5 star - 17 of 30ish (57%)
4 star - 23 of 200ish (12%)
3 star - 33 of 1000ish (3%)
2 star - 27 of everyone else (<1%)

Another way to look at it...

 

[FunCyd]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

This doesn't surprise me or tell the story I think you're trying to tell. For every 4 and 5 star there are 10(pure guess) 2 and 3 stars.

You are correct. I'm just throwing numbers out there.

 

[Mr Janny]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

The Top 100 players that were drafted in 2013

17 were five-star prospects
23 were four-star prospects
33 were three-star prospects
27 were two-star prospects

Interesting. A little misleading, though. For example, for 2014, Rivals has given 33 players a 5-star rating. If 17 of those end up getting drafted in the top 100, that's over 50%. If you look at it from a percentage standpoint, I'm betting it goes right in order with the highest percentage drafted being 5-star, then 4, 3, 2, etc. There are just so many more 2 and 3 stars than 5 stars.

 

[Rabbuk]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

You are correct. I'm just throwing numbers out there.

I gotcha, just preempting the diamond in the rough crowd then. Haha.

 

[FunCyd]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

I totally get the percentages. However, the fact that 60% of the top 100 in the draft was comprised of 3 & 2 star recruits is interesting.

 

[DMCYFAN]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

I totally get the percentages. However, the fact that 60% of the top 100 in the draft was comprised of 3 & 2 star recruits is interesting.

I agree - The number that surprised me most was 4 stars, I would have thought more than 10-15% would be in there. You can understand the 2-3 star kids that get overlooked or develop later but I would have thought more 4-stars than 3-stars would make that list even given the number disparity.

 

[NickTheGreat]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

Draft results =/= NFL performance. See Ryan Leaf, Eric Crouch, Tim Tebow etc

 

[QCCyclone]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

All other statistics aside, it's pretty incredible that more than 1/4 of players drafted in the top 100 were 2* prospects coming out of high school.

 

[Skyh13]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

I don't know the exact numbers for how many of each star there are but:
5 star - 17 of 30ish (57%)
4 star - 23 of 200ish (12%)
3 star - 33 of 1000ish (3%)
2 star - 27 of everyone else (<1%)

Another way to look at it...

This is the only useful way to look at that data.

We all know not every 5-star prospect is going to pan out, and we know that some lower-rated prospects will turn out to be better than thought. But seeing a percentage can help reveal how often certain star ratings typically work out.

 

[CycloneErik]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

So, basically, the odds of a 2 star talent actually being an NFL player are astronomically low, but we'll fight hard to convince ourselves that it's the road to great success.

 

[boone7247]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

The Top 100 players that were drafted in 2013

17 were five-star prospects
23 were four-star prospects
33 were three-star prospects
27 were two-star prospects

As has been pointed out this is a little misleading. Also I think a better evaluation of this is how many of those are starters 3 years into their professional career. This will tell us who sticks, just cause a guy is drafted doesn't mean he is worth a **** at the NFL level. I know what you are getting at, but nothing to get to excited about.

 

[00clone]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

Well, Stars are only part of the equation...can someone compile a similar breakdown of "offers"?

wink:

 

[benjay]

Re: NFL Draft: Top 100 Players Drafted in 2013 - Star ratings coming out of high sch

So, basically, the odds of a 2 star talent actually being an NFL player are astronomically low, but we'll fight hard to convince ourselves that it's the road to great success.

Except that every single poster in this thread has pointed out the odds.