The only thing comparable is Iowa in 2014. They ended up losing 6 out of 7 and got dropped to the play-in game.How many teams have finished a season going 3-14? I don't care how good your conference is or how many quad wins you have, that's not NCAA material.
I'm not naive saying they 100% won't get in but I think people assuming we will be definitely in are underestimating the weight of such a late season collapse. Ask yourself, right now are we closer to playing like the team that amassed a ton of quad 1 wins, or a team that will be lucky to win 1 game at the NCAAs? Right now there is little reason to believe we will magically start playing better. Especially when you realize it's the 2nd year in a row it's happened.
We will most likely go in losing 7 of 8. I think we still make it but will probably either be an 11 seed or sent to Dayton.