2018 Stock Prediction

Mtowncyclone13

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,769
113
grundy center
Yes it is designed to react at 3X the reaction. I’m not trading this thing daily it’s a long term play for me at one point I was worried if it would survive or if it would reverse split but that hasn’t happened yet. So just sitting waitin for the long slow slide back down.

I have a bit in inverse ETFs but am starting to trade them daily because their base resets everyday which changes their returns.

Long atory shoet, the return is not calculated since the day you bought the fund, it resets daily so the inverse ETF can be down even when the underlying fund is down.

It took me a year or so to get a good rhythm with it, but I like to buy them as a small hedge to a larger purchase.
 

ArgentCy

Well-Known Member
Jan 13, 2010
20,405
11,148
113
GME is just killing me lately. Their management has been, hmm I'll be nice and say disappointing. They did hire a new CEO and we have yet to see on whether they can turn it around. Bought 100 shares back that I sold at ~$20 around $12.50 after the most recent earnings. I can't pass up a stock that looks like a good value with a 12% dividend. So far the shorts have just owned management.

What they really need to do is make a run at acquiring Valve Corp and Steam Platform. This would get the Blockbuster dolts off their back. But I'm not sure management is smart enough or if they have the ability to raise enough capital.
 
Last edited:

SCNCY

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 11, 2009
10,684
8,496
113
37
La Fox, IL
HQY has been a good pick for me. I actually have it in my IRA and purchased it a couple months after their IPO. Since my purchase, I am sitting at a 178% return, which is about a 31% annual return.:cool:

However, regarding the entire market. I have some cash in my IRA that I am wanting to invest in a blue chip dividend paying stock but just have not bit the bullet yet.
 
  • Winner
Reactions: crawfy54

Mtowncyclone13

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,769
113
grundy center
However, regarding the entire market. I have some cash in my IRA that I am wanting to invest in a blue chip dividend paying stock but just have not bit the bullet yet.

What kind of yield are you looking for? I took all my higher dividend funds and put them in my Roth and put my Target Date ETFs and put them in my brokerage account. I don't know why I didn't think of that earlier.
 
L

LincolnWay187

Guest
Does anyone have any thoughts on at&t? Their deal with time warner is on the table and supposed to be ruled in the next few weeks. Currently trading with a dividend yield over 6 percent. I figure even if the deal is bunked the dividend is still there
 

Mtowncyclone13

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,769
113
grundy center
Does anyone have any thoughts on at&t? Their deal with time warner is on the table and supposed to be ruled in the next few weeks. Currently trading with a dividend yield over 6 percent. I figure even if the deal is bunked the dividend is still there

T is a good dividend stock plus we'll always need the networks they have. I think it's a great buy for dividends but watch out. There is a lawsuit from their union, the merger deal, and it's down a bunch over the last 12 months. If you just want dividends it's a good buy. If you're looking for price stability no one knows where it's going to go.
 
  • Like
Reactions: LincolnWay187

ChrisMWilliams

Publisher
Staff member
Bookie
Apr 10, 2006
25,230
50,283
113
41
Bondurant, Iowa
www.CycloneFanatic.com
I bought some WWE about 3 weeks ago and it has performed very well. My logic - because I follow this stuff closely - is that they are about to sign a new TV deal, I'm guessing with FOX. It would put WWE programming on network TV for the first time ever. On top of that, WWE has been way ahead of the curve when it comes to digital (WWE Network) for a long time. Their numbers are fantastic. They are growing globally. Even if you don't like the product, you have to respect the brand.
 
L

LincolnWay187

Guest
I bought some WWE about 3 weeks ago and it has performed very well. My logic - because I follow this stuff closely - is that they are about to sign a new TV deal, I'm guessing with FOX. It would put WWE programming on network TV for the first time ever. On top of that, WWE has been way ahead of the curve when it comes to digital (WWE Network) for a long time. Their numbers are fantastic. They are growing globally. Even if you don't like the product, you have to respect the brand.
I couldn't buy this stock sheerly based on the bad puns theyd get if they missed their numbers aka WWE stock getting the smack down this morning.
 
L

LincolnWay187

Guest
Another stock I really like is crsp. Very risky. They are working on Gene editing cures that could cure a slew of major diseases. If they start getting approvals and seeing continued success their stock is going to sky rocket or inversely go to zero quick.
 

SCNCY

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 11, 2009
10,684
8,496
113
37
La Fox, IL
What kind of yield are you looking for? I took all my higher dividend funds and put them in my Roth and put my Target Date ETFs and put them in my brokerage account. I don't know why I didn't think of that earlier.

Not looking for any particular yield. I pick actual stocks as opposed to a dividend ETF. I pick from a list of stocks called the Dividend Aristocrats list. Its a list of companies that have been paying a dividend and raising it for over 25 years. I then DRIP the dividends into more stock.

I have looked at the yields on those dividend funds and was not impressed, although there could be others that I do not know about. I could buy individual stocks myself (most of which are over 2%) and get a better yield in my portfolio. I think my current portfolio is just under 3% yield right now.

However, your idea of moving dividend stocks into a Roth is a good idea as your just paying taxes on the dividends you receive from the account. I opened a Roth IRA about 6 months ago, so I don't have a lot of cash in it yet. My traditional IRA has about 37k (mainly from 401K rollover) in it right now, so moving that around would be a very big tax on me right now. My plan is to contribute to my Roth IRA until it does not make sense to do anymore. I treat both IRAs as one portfolio, so I pick stocks based on which sector is under-represented.
 

Gunnerclone

Well-Known Member
Jul 16, 2010
75,564
79,788
113
DSM
I bought some WWE about 3 weeks ago and it has performed very well. My logic - because I follow this stuff closely - is that they are about to sign a new TV deal, I'm guessing with FOX. It would put WWE programming on network TV for the first time ever. On top of that, WWE has been way ahead of the curve when it comes to digital (WWE Network) for a long time. Their numbers are fantastic. They are growing globally. Even if you don't like the product, you have to respect the brand.

I own WWE solely so I can yell “I’m your boss *******!” When Vince makes appearances.
 

Mtowncyclone13

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,769
113
grundy center
Not looking for any particular yield. I pick actual stocks as opposed to a dividend ETF. I pick from a list of stocks called the Dividend Aristocrats list. Its a list of companies that have been paying a dividend and raising it for over 25 years. I then DRIP the dividends into more stock.

I have looked at the yields on those dividend funds and was not impressed, although there could be others that I do not know about. I could buy individual stocks myself (most of which are over 2%) and get a better yield in my portfolio. I think my current portfolio is just under 3% yield right now.

However, your idea of moving dividend stocks into a Roth is a good idea as your just paying taxes on the dividends you receive from the account. I opened a Roth IRA about 6 months ago, so I don't have a lot of cash in it yet. My traditional IRA has about 37k (mainly from 401K rollover) in it right now, so moving that around would be a very big tax on me right now. My plan is to contribute to my Roth IRA until it does not make sense to do anymore. I treat both IRAs as one portfolio, so I pick stocks based on which sector is under-represented.

I'm going to have a massive capital loss on some hard assets so I decided now was the year to sell my stocks in the taxable account and rebuy them in the Roth. I'll have to pay taxes on the gains but it'll be wiped out by my other losses so it's a net zero tax burden for me.

As of May 1 my taxable account yield is 2.7% and my Roth yield is 3.8%. I'm getting about 5k per year dividends in all accounts so we've got a long ways to go if I'm going to rely on dividends in retirement.

The Aristocrats are good but the yield is not high enough for me. REITs and BDCs have yield 8% + if you're willing to take the risk.
 

dmclone

Well-Known Member
Oct 20, 2006
21,570
5,916
113
50131
In my Roth IRA I buy into the VIG etf

The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF targets companies with at least 10 consecutive years of dividend growth.

I thinks it's done pretty decent.
 

SCNCY

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Sep 11, 2009
10,684
8,496
113
37
La Fox, IL
As of May 1 my taxable account yield is 2.7% and my Roth yield is 3.8%. I'm getting about 5k per year dividends in all accounts so we've got a long ways to go if I'm going to rely on dividends in retirement.

The Aristocrats are good but the yield is not high enough for me. REITs and BDCs have yield 8% + if you're willing to take the risk.[/QUOTE]

I see your point on the yield. I am still trying to get my diversification finalized; almost there. But once I I feel happy with that, I may look at other yielding stocks, including those that you mentioned.
 

Go2Guy

Well-Known Member
Mar 18, 2006
8,991
968
113
Houston, TX
FYI - when I graduated Iowa State (1980), you could buy a 10-yr US Treasury Note with about a ~ 14% annual dividend !! Today, it has a yield of 3%, but perhaps things are about to change: 10yr.JPG
 

Go2Guy

Well-Known Member
Mar 18, 2006
8,991
968
113
Houston, TX
I'm gonna keep an eye on Nike (NKE), showing ok chart action, but the volume buying on this breakout is only average. Pure Storage (PSTG) vol buying looking a little more convincing.
 

Attachments

  • NKE.JPG
    NKE.JPG
    82.4 KB · Views: 1
  • PSTG.JPG
    PSTG.JPG
    84.5 KB · Views: 1