**Unofficial Confidence Check 1/4/22: NCAA Tournament Seed**
- Thread starter PSYclone22
- Start date
Been said many times but any ISU fan would have signed up in a hurry for the 8/9 line in October and that really shouldn't change.
I don't think 5-13 gets us in.
I think 6-12 would get us to the bubble and possibly play in game depending who the 6 came from. big 12 is just too damn tough this year.
Anything less than 7-11 would be NIT IMO, unless we make a run in the Big 12 tourney, or knock off Baylor in Waco, beat Kansas 1/2 times etc. Would need a big marquee win to get in at under 7-11.
I'm not even comfortable with 7-11 being enough for NCAAT. I guess it'd be more likely this season than most with so much power in Big 12, but it's possible to go 7-11 without getting any high-end quality wins (or having some low-end losses). Maybe that, combined with what was gleaned in non-con, would qualify -- bubble territory I'm sure, but 8-10 seems like minimum required. I might just be overly cautious.
Based on how we've actually played and acquitted ourselves thus far? I'd say 3-5, with 4 being my pick with a gun to my head.
We will struggle to create offensively against athletic teams who are committed on the defensive end. The great part about that is there are really 2-3 teams in the Big 12 that are even capable of doing that (and we just played one of those). Against most teams the defense, transition, and ball movement/passing will lead to enough points. The defensive intensity has waned, nor has the rebounding effort. This leads me to believe, barring injury, that we will lose 2 games at Hilton and lose 4-5 on the road. I really think this is a 6-7 loss conference team that will have a bevy of quality wins come tournament time.
Otz has them playing at a high level and the only thing I see derailing it is an injury to a key contributor. Or an untimely bout(s) of Covid.
We will struggle to create offensively against athletic teams who are committed on the defensive end. The great part about that is there are really 2-3 teams in the Big 12 that are even capable of doing that (and we just played one of those). Against most teams the defense, transition, and ball movement/passing will lead to enough points. The defensive intensity has waned, nor has the rebounding effort. This leads me to believe, barring injury, that we will lose 2 games at Hilton and lose 4-5 on the road. I really think this is a 6-7 loss conference team that will have a bevy of quality wins come tournament time.
Otz has them playing at a high level and the only thing I see derailing it is an injury to a key contributor. Or an untimely bout(s) of Covid.
Maybe even a win like tonight will cause a mood swing? Went to the game with some friends and had fun.
Heck...considering what we have right now for offensive personel , and where we came from...I'd take a 'play-in' game...just get in.
After conference play, I'm thinking a 7 seed. That's good, right? i mean, considering expectations going into this season....
I would have said 4-5 after Baylor game. 7-8 tonight.
Fear that everyone now has a blueprint for how to play us. our weaknesses got exposed and it looks like we had no idea how to fix them.
If We beat TTU by 4 (7 if you’re not counting last second banked 3) with them at full strength and not shooting 40% FT and 17% 3FG I say that’s a really good win and still really optimistic. But we got bailed out tonight.
I figure we lose both to KU, Baylor, and Texas. We’ll probably drop one at home that we shouldn’t. That means we have to win 3 road games to get to 8-10 which probably puts us middle of the bracket.
Fear that everyone now has a blueprint for how to play us. our weaknesses got exposed and it looks like we had no idea how to fix them.
If We beat TTU by 4 (7 if you’re not counting last second banked 3) with them at full strength and not shooting 40% FT and 17% 3FG I say that’s a really good win and still really optimistic. But we got bailed out tonight.
I figure we lose both to KU, Baylor, and Texas. We’ll probably drop one at home that we shouldn’t. That means we have to win 3 road games to get to 8-10 which probably puts us middle of the bracket.
