What are the ceilings and floors for these teams?

[dahliaclone]

Auburn/Duke/Florida/Tennessee/Houston/Alabama. Those six have kind of made themselves the top tier of the field at this point. Hard to argue that.

But then there are a bunch of other teams below that jockeying. Curious what you think the ceiling is for the following teams if they play to potential…and floor if you want too.

• Texas Tech
• Texas A&M
• Arizona
• Kentucky
• Michigan
• Maryland
• Purdue
• Missouri
• Wisconsin
• Michigan State
• Marquette
• BYU
• St. John’s

 

[JP4CY]

I think Tech has a Final Four ceiling.
7 losses, 5 by 5 pts or less.
So theyre always in their games.

 

[Marcelason78]

Auburn/Duke/Florida/Tennessee/Houston/Alabama. Those six have kind of made themselves the top tier of the field at this point. Hard to argue that.

But then there are a bunch of other teams below that jockeying. Curious what you think the ceiling is for the following teams if they play to potential…and floor if you want too.

• Texas Tech
• Texas A&M
• Arizona
• Kentucky
• Michigan
• Maryland
• Purdue
• Missouri
• Wisconsin
• Michigan State
• Marquette
• BYU
• St. John’s

Tech, Mizzou, and St John’s would be in my next group from this list after your top six.

 

[coolerifyoudid]

Floor - any one of them can lose their first game, but I would put Purdue, Wisconsin and A&M as the most likely candidates to bow out unexpectedly.

Ceilings:

• Texas Tech (Final 4, Toppin is elite, but they can rely on him too much)
• Texas A&M (Elite 8, can beat anyone, but not convinced they can string enough offensive games together)
• Arizona (Final 4, can put up a lot of points and getting better defensively. I'd guess will lose in Sweet 16 game)
• Kentucky (Championship if they'd play to their talent, but will likely lose in 2nd or 3rd game because they don't defend well)
• Michigan (Sweet 16, and I'd be surprised if they went further)
• Maryland (Elite 8, raw, but talented and long)
• Purdue (Sweet 16, I'll pick them to get bounced early, but they'll probably catch fire and ruin my bracket)
• Missouri (Elite 8, but if Grill is off, they could lose to a much lower seed)
• Wisconsin (Sweet 16, maybe round of 32, best wins are twice over Purdue who I think is over-rated and Arizona early in the year before they got their crap together. I'm not sold on them.)
• Michigan State (Championship, complete team, lost some weird ones during the year, but bullied some good teams, also coaching matters)
• Marquette (Elite 8, faltered lately, but they defend well. The combo of Jones and Joplin can carry them a ways in the tournament. How the refs call the game matters big time.)
• BYU (Elite 8, If their shooters are on, they can hang with anyone with how quickly they move the ball around. On a tear now as well, which means they'll probably lay an egg on the first game)
• St. John’s (Final 4, Very talented and athletic, experienced coaching, lack of experience keeps them from stringing enough games to go further)

 

[CascadeClone]

Too many to comment, but I put small Final 4 bets on:

AZ, TT, BYU, MSU, and of course ISU

ISU was +440 and everyone else was higher than that. Seemed like good value, esp on AZ and BYU. Maybe its Big12 homerism, but I think they both have the talent needed to get there.

 

[NATEizKING]

Too many to comment, but I put small Final 4 bets on:

AZ, TT, BYU, MSU, and of course ISU

ISU was +440 and everyone else was higher than that. Seemed like good value, esp on AZ and BYU. Maybe its Big12 homerism, but I think they both have the talent needed to get there.

B12 had a rough compared to previous seasons non-con, think at least 1 of the leagues teams makes it though.