I don't think there will be much of a gap between 4-10. Pretty evenly matched group of teams based on what they lost and new additions. No doormats, at least it doesn't look that way right now.
I agree, which is why picking Iowa State in the 8-9 range is crazy. The home court advantage is huge for us and there are only 2 other teams in the conference that can say the same thing. Win the ones you should at home and steal a few on the road and Iowa State finishes somewhere between 4th and 7th with 4th being ridiculously optimistic.