Next four games

[cyclones500]

None of these opponents are significantly at a higher level than ISU this season, right now. That is, I don't consider any of these games a "probable loss."

On the other hand, this year's team might be hard-pressed to go 4-0 during this stretch, or any stretch, in the Big 12. If life were fair, we'd automatically get 2 wins to balance the NU/OSU near miss chances.

But life isn't fair.

I'm more hopeful about winning @CU and vs. KSU at home than I might've been a couple of weeks ago, even with the crushing week on the road. Probably not both.

Could: 4-0
Should: 3-1
My guess: 2-2

Anything worse — eek. Be prepared for nothing better than 16-15/3-13.

 

[cyclonedave25]

Here's my current breakdown of odds of our record for the next 4 games.

4-0: 10%
3-1: 25%
2-2: 40%
1-3: 20%
0-4: 5%

 

[cyclones500]

Here's my current breakdown of odds of our record for the next 4 games.

4-0: 10%
3-1: 25%
2-2: 40%
1-3: 20%
0-4: 5%

Looks about right.

I'll take a higher likelihood of being 3-1 vs. 1-3, even if it's only 5%.

Mine would go smack-dab in the middle and extremely light at the edges:
4-0: 5%
3-1: 15%
2:2: 67%
1-3: 10%
0-4: 3%