Mook's Bowl Projections (11/25/12)

[The Mook]

Last week I did not have Iowa State winning over West Virginia, therefore my destination for the Cyclones has not changed.

As most of you already know, the two biggest games that will impact all of the Big 12 bowl selections are "Kansas State vs. Texas" and "Kent State vs. Northern Illinois" ... I am projecting that Kansas State wins and Kent State loses.

Mook's Updated Bowl Projections (11/25/12)

Gildan New Mexico Bowl
Arizona (7-5) vs. Nevada (7-5)
December 15 ... Albuquerque, NM

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Toledo (9-3) vs. #24 UTAH STATE (10-2)
December 15 ... Boise, ID

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
BRIGHAM YOUNG (7-5) vs. San Diego State (9-3)
December 20 ... San Diego, CA

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl
Rice (6-6) vs. Western Kentucky (7-5)
December 21 ... St. Petersburg, FL

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Ohio (8-4) vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (8-4)
December 22 ... New Orleans, LA

MAACO Bowl Las Vegas
Washington (8-4) vs. #17 Boise State (10-2)
December 22 ... Las Vegas, NV

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Central Florida (9-4) vs. Fresno State (9-3)
December 24 ... Honolulu, HI

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl
#18 Northern Illinois (12-1) vs. Arkansas State (9-3)
December 26 ... Detroit, MI

Military Bowl
East Carolina (8-4) vs. Ball State (9-3)
December 27 ... Washington, DC

Belk Bowl
Duke (6-6) vs. Louisville (9-3)
December 27 ... Charlotte, NC

Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl
Texas Christian (7-5) vs. #19 Ucla (9-4)
December 27 ... San Diego, CA

AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Middle Tennessee State (8-4) vs. Louisiana Tech (9-3)
December 28 ... Shreveport, LA

Russell Athletic Bowl
North Carolina State (7-5) vs. Cincinnati (9-3)
December 28 ... Orlando, FL

Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas
Baylor (6-6) vs. Minnesota (6-6)
December 28 ... Houston, TX

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
SMU (6-6) vs. AIR FORCE (6-6)
December 29 ... Fort Worth, TX

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
Arizona State (7-5) vs. NAVY (8-4)
December 29 ... San Francisco, CA

New Era Pinstripe Bowl
West Virginia (7-5) vs. Pittsburgh (6-6)
December 29 ... Bronx, NY

Valero Alamo Bowl
#22 Oklahoma State (8-4) vs. #15 Oregon State (9-3)
December 29 ... San Antonio, TX

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl
Texas Tech (7-5) vs. Michigan State (6-6)
December 29 ... Tempe, AZ

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Vanderbilt (8-4) vs. San Jose State (10-2)
December 31 ... Nashville, TN

Hyundai Sun Bowl
Virginia Tech (6-6) vs. Southern California (7-5)
December 31 ... El Paso, TX

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Ole Miss (6-6) vs. Tulsa (10-3)
December 31 ... Memphis, TN

Chick-fil-A Bowl
#14 Clemson (10-2) vs. #7 LSU (10-2)
December 31 ... Atlanta, GA

Heart of Dallas Bowl
Iowa State (6-6) vs. Purdue (6-6)
January 1 ... Dallas, TX

TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl
Wisconsin (7-6) vs. Mississippi State (8-4)
January 1 ... Jacksonville, FL

Capital One Bowl
#21 Northwestern (9-3) vs. #6 Georgia (11-2)
January 1 ... Orlando, FL

Outback Bowl
#16 Michigan (8-4) vs. #10 South Carolina (10-2)
January 1 ... Tampa, FL

Rose Bowl Game presented by Vizio
#12 Nebraska (11-2) vs. #8 Stanford (11-2)
January 1 ... Pasadena, CA

Discover Orange Bowl
#13 Florida State (11-2) vs. #23 Rutgers (10-2)
January 1 ... Miami Gardens, FL

Allstate Sugar Bowl
#11 Oklahoma (10-2) vs. #3 Florida (11-1)
January 2 ... New Orleans, LA

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
#5 Kansas State (11-1) vs. #4 Oregon (11-1)
January 3 ... Glendale, AZ

AT&T Cotton Bowl
#25 Texas (8-4) vs. #9 Texas A&M (10-2)
January 4 ... Arlington, TX

BBVA Compass Bowl
Syracuse (7-5) vs. Bowling Green (8-4)
January 5 ... Birmingham, AL

GoDaddy.com Bowl
#20 Kent State (11-2) vs. Louisiana-Monroe (8-4)
January 5 ... Mobile, AL

Discover BCS National Championship Game
#2 Alabama (12-1) #1 Notre Dame (12-0)
January 7 ... Miami Gardens, FL

---

Bowl eligible, but not selected ...
Texas-San Antonio (8-4)
Central Michigan (6-6)

 

[The Mook]

IF Kent State wins AND is able to move up to #16 in the BCS Standings, which is likely but not necessarily guaranteed OR Kansas State loses to Texas OR if Oklahoma loses to TCU - THEN obviously the Big 12 would be only looking at one team in the BCS ...

IF that is the case, this is what I see as most likely scenario:

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl ... KANSAS STATE or OKLAHOMA vs. Oregon
AT&T Cotton Bowl ... KANSAS STATE or OKLAHOMA vs. Texas A&M
Valero Alamo Bowl ... TEXAS vs. Oregon State
Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl ... OKLAHOMA STATE vs. UCLA
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl ... TEXAS TECH vs. Michigan State
Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas ... TCU vs. Purdue
New Era Pinstripe Bowl ... WEST VIRGINIA vs. Pittsburgh
Heart of Dallas Bowl ... BAYLOR vs. Minnesota
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl ... IOWA STATE vs. Vanderbilt

 

[cyclones500]

IF Kent State wins AND is able to move up to #16 in the BCS Standings, which is likely but not necessarily guaranteed OR Kansas State loses to Texas OR if Oklahoma loses to TCU - THEN obviously the Big 12 would be only looking at one team in the BCS ...

IF that is the case, this is what I see as most likely scenario:

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl ... KANSAS STATE or OKLAHOMA vs. Oregon
AT&T Cotton Bowl ... KANSAS STATE or OKLAHOMA vs. Texas A&M
Valero Alamo Bowl ... TEXAS vs. Oregon State
Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl ... OKLAHOMA STATE vs. UCLA
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl ... TEXAS TECH vs. Michigan State
Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas ... TCU vs. Purdue
New Era Pinstripe Bowl ... WEST VIRGINIA vs. Pittsburgh
Heart of Dallas Bowl ... BAYLOR vs. Minnesota
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl ... IOWA STATE vs. Vanderbilt

Good work, either way ... let it be done.

Beat Purdue or Vanderbilt. Pleeez.

 

[Cy$]

CyCash's Bowl Projections

National Title Game: Alabama vs. NOTRE DAME
Orange Bowl: Florida St. vs. Rutgers
Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Oklahoma
Fiesta Bowl: Kansas St. vs. Oregon
Rose Bowl: Nebraska vs. Stanford

Chick-Fil A Bowl: Clemson vs. LSU
Russel Athletic Bowl: NC St. vs. Louisville
Sun Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. USC
Belk Bowl: Duke vs. Cincinnati
Beef O' Brady's Bowl: Bowling Green(at-large) vs. East Carolina
Music City Bowl: San Jose St. (at-large) vs. Vanderbilt
Military Bowl: Ball St.(at-large(ACC)) vs. W Kentucky(at-large)
Cotton Bowl: Texas vs. Texas A&M
Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma St. vs. UCLA
BWW Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Michigan St.
Holiday Bowl: TCU vs. Oregon St.
Car Care Bowl: Baylor vs. Minnesota
Pinstripe Bowl: West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
Heart of Dallas Bowl: Iowa State vs. Purdue
Compass Bowl:Syracuse vs. Arkansas St.(at-large)
Capital One Bowl: Michigan vs. Georgia
Outback Bowl: Northwestern vs. South Carolina
Gator Bowl: Wisconsin vs. Mississippi St.
Pizza Bowl: Mid Tennessee St.(at-large) vs. Northern Illinois
Liberty Bowl: UCF vs. Ole Miss
Armed Forces Bowl: Tulsa vs. AIR FORCE
New Orleans Bowl: SMU vs. LA-LAFAYETTE
GoDaddy.com Bowl: Kent St. vs. LA-Monroe
Potato Bowl: Toledo vs. UTAH ST.
Las Vegas Bowl: Boise St. vs. Arizona
Poinsettia Bowl: BYU vs. San Diego St.
Hawaii Bowl: Fresno St. vs. Rice
New Mexico Bowl: Nevada vs. Washington
Hunger Bowl: NAVY vs. Arizona St.
Independence Bowl: Ohio (at-large) vs. LA Tech (at-large)

Big 12 ACC Big East Big 10 C-USA MAC MWC Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC Indy

Bold are teams that have accepted (ND hasn't, but they will)

At-Large Teams
------------------
Bowling Green (8-4) going to Beef O'Brady's Bowl
Ohio (8-4) going to Independence Bowl
C Michigan (6-6)
Arkansas St. (8-3) going to Compass Bowl
Mid Tenn St. (8-3) going to Pizza Bowl
W Kentucky (7-5) going to Military Bowl
LA Tech (9-3) going to Independence Bowl
San jose St. (10-2) going to Music City Bowl


looks like we have similar projections

 

[chuckd4735]

At this point, and with the slide they are in, I wouldn't be surprised to see TCU picked over Tech for the BWW.

 

[HFCS]

As always, computer poll 1/3 of the BCS rankings is the Big 12's only friend in the changing landscape of college football.

KSU is 6 in all 3 components. Every other Big 12 team is higher in computer ranking than both human polls. Human polls right now are propping up the MAC teams when in Oklahoma State is 3-8 spots higher than them in any computer ranking. If a MAC team doesn't get the AQ BCS spot, it'll be because computers know a team like OK State is better than them and voters don't.

Even our marquee name teams Texas and Oklahoma don't get the credit they earn for playing our 9 game schedule in a tough top to bottom league. Texas has been higher in computer ranking than voter opinion all season. Even sports writers who are biased toward the Texas brand name can't understand it's much harder to play TCU mid-season than have the SEC's week off against an FCS team late in the year.