Last Year's Bowl Prediction Accuracy Analysis

[Cycsk]

About this time each year, many of us give lots of attention to the bowl game prognosticators. But which ones deserve our attention?

Bottom lines:
- Value ESPN’s Schlabach, 24/7’s Crawford, and Athlon's Lasson.
- Ignore DRatings, Bleacher Report's Miller, and SI’s Johnson.
- CBS Palm is "meh."

Last year (2022), I did analysis of predictions (based on the latest I could find for each). If someone got one team correct, I gave 1 point. If someone got both teams correct, I gave 3 points.

#1 ESPN Schlabach – 92 points
#2 24/7 Crawford – 82 points
#3 Athlon’s Lasson – 76 points
#4 Action – 61 points
#5 Yahoo – 59 points
#6 CBS Palm – 58 points
#7 ESPN Bonagura - 48 points
#8 SN Bender – 47 points
#9 CFN Fiutak – 45 points
#10 DRatings – 30 points
#11 Bleacher Report Miller – 28 points
#12 SI’s Johnson – 18 points

Based on how many times at least one team in a bowl was predicted correctly:

#1 24/7 Crawford – 36
#2 tie ESPN Schlabach – 34
#2 tie Athlon’s Lasson – 34
#4 Action – 33
#5 tie Yahoo – 29
#5 tie CFN Fiutak – 29
#7 CBS Palm – 28
#8 SN Bender – 23
#9 ESPN Bonagura – 20
#10 Bleacher Report Miller – 16
#11 tie SI’s Johnson – 14
#11 tie DRatings – 14

 

[fcclone]

About this time each year, many of us give lots of attention to the bowl game prognosticators. But which ones deserve our attention?

Bottom lines:
- Value ESPN’s Schlabach, 24/7’s Crawford, and Athlon's Lasson.
- Ignore DRatings, Bleacher Report's Miller, and SI’s Johnson.
- CBS Palm is "meh."

Last year (2022), I did analysis of predictions (based on the latest I could find for each). If someone got one team correct, I gave 1 point. If someone got both teams correct, I gave 3 points.

#1 ESPN Schlabach – 92 points
#2 24/7 Crawford – 82 points
#3 Athlon’s Lasson – 76 points
#4 Action – 61 points
#5 Yahoo – 59 points
#6 CBS Palm – 58 points
#7 ESPN Bonagura - 48 points
#8 SN Bender – 47 points
#9 CFN Fiutak – 45 points
#10 DRatings – 30 points
#11 Bleacher Report Miller – 28 points
#12 SI’s Johnson – 18 points

Based on how many times at least one team in a bowl was predicted correctly:

#1 24/7 Crawford – 36
#2 tie ESPN Schlabach – 34
#2 tie Athlon’s Lasson – 34
#4 Action – 33
#5 tie Yahoo – 29
#5 tie CFN Fiutak – 29
#7 CBS Palm – 28
#8 SN Bender – 23
#9 ESPN Bonagura – 20
#10 Bleacher Report Miller – 16
#11 tie SI’s Johnson – 14
#11 tie DRatings – 14

Wow, SI’s Johnson is terrible. You could draw the eligible teams out of a hat and get that many correct.

 

[Prone2Clone]

Currently, both Schlabach and Crawford have ISU in the Liberty Bowl. Schlabach vs. UTSA; Crawford vs. Memphis.

Lasson has ISU in the Independence vs. Cal.

 

[Cfinnerty16]

Ugh I want a Power 5 school. I do not want a G5 and I do not want ANY part of UTSA. Jeff Traylor is a magician of a coach and Frank Harris at QB is the real deal.

 

[cycloneworld]

Wow, SI’s Johnson is terrible. You could draw the eligible teams out of a hat and get that many correct.

“Johnson” making those picks?

 

[beentherebefore]

Since ESPN owns most of the bowls, one could assume that the ESPN bowl prognosticators would have some inside info. But, then again, I do not know what role ESPN plays in team selection.

 

[madguy30]

Currently, both Schlabach and Crawford have ISU in the Liberty Bowl. Schlabach vs. UTSA; Crawford vs. Memphis.

Lasson has ISU in the Independence vs. Cal.

Give me the 3rd option any day. Don't care. It's more interesting than the first two.

 

[Marcelason78]

About this time each year, many of us give lots of attention to the bowl game prognosticators. But which ones deserve our attention?

Bottom lines:
- Value ESPN’s Schlabach, 24/7’s Crawford, and Athlon's Lasson.
- Ignore DRatings, Bleacher Report's Miller, and SI’s Johnson.
- CBS Palm is "meh."

Last year (2022), I did analysis of predictions (based on the latest I could find for each). If someone got one team correct, I gave 1 point. If someone got both teams correct, I gave 3 points.

#1 ESPN Schlabach – 92 points
#2 24/7 Crawford – 82 points
#3 Athlon’s Lasson – 76 points
Based on how many times at least one team in a bowl was predicted correctly:

#1 24/7 Crawford – 36
#2 tie ESPN Schlabach – 34
#2 tie Athlon’s Lasson – 34

Fun info. A lot of attention is given to McMurphy in the bowl threads, but it looks like Liberty or Independence with these three guys.

 

[gocy444]

I want to play a team we can beat. Don’t need another Clemson or Notre Dame.

 

[Cyclonepride]

I want to play a team we can beat. Don’t need another Clemson or Notre Dame.

Just beat a top 20 team at their place, so that list is pretty long.

 

[CYCLNST8]

We don't have a lot of trophies. Put me in the favorable matchup camp.

 

[JP4CY]

I want to play a team we can beat. Don’t need another Clemson or Notre Dame.

I think Iowa State and Clemson this year are pretty equal.