I've been messing around with some analytics using play-by-play data and thought I'd dump a few things here for people to parse through.
First: 1st down tendencies
In the first half of games OK State is calling a run on 1st and 10 nearly two-thirds of the time. Iowa State is at 57% run ratio in the first half. Not much changes for them in the second half, but we get a little bit more run heavy.
From a yards per play perspective, OK State has been pretty inefficient on 1st downs. That could be a key advantage for us on Saturday.
Quarterback:
Spencer Sanders should be back Saturday so I'm not showing anything for OK State, but here's a bit for Purdy.
On 1st downs Purdy is more efficient. And by quite a lot. If we can have a GOOD BALANCE of passing on 1st downs to stay ahead of the chains to ensure a lot of short yardage 2nd and 3rd downs or even 1st down conversions we will be successful. I know the 62 pass attempts from last year has people balking at passing, but look at the above chart: we gain >3 yards more on 1st downs by passing than rushing.
RB Comparison:
From a strict yards per carry perspective, Hall outgains Hubbard 6.0 to 4.9.
That said, they both tend to cluster their carries at around 3 yards per carry (Breece's most common yards gained are 1 yard and 2 yards, Hubbard's most common carry gets him 3 yards). The difference though is that Hall has produced a few more explosive plays for long yardage (his 3 longest carries are longer than any carry Hubbard has produced).
Receivers
The first couple tables show who each team is targeting on 1st downs. Tylan Wallace garners 50% (!) of Oklahoma State's targets on 1st downs. And there's a good reason. Everyone else has been garbage on 1st downs as receivers for them.
For Iowa State, Xavier Hutchinson leads the way with 8 targets on 1st downs, although I'd hazard to guess Kolar will overtake him here eventually. And whereas the Cowboys only get production from Wallace on 1st down passes, Purdy can spread the ball out to just about anyone and be successful.
The final charts here reflect receivers on all plays for each team, measuring completion percentage (color and label), yards per target (length of bar), and number of targets (width of bar).
Landen Akers leads Iowa State with nearly 11 yards per target. The completion percentage to him is lower, but completion percentage is less of a big deal for me than yards per target, since completion percentage can be very depth-of-target dependent.
For Oklahoma State... well, again there's no surprise here. Just cover Wallace, right?
Share your thoughts, let me know what you like / don't and even any other visuals or analytics you might be interested in. All of this is produced via play-by-play data.
First: 1st down tendencies
In the first half of games OK State is calling a run on 1st and 10 nearly two-thirds of the time. Iowa State is at 57% run ratio in the first half. Not much changes for them in the second half, but we get a little bit more run heavy.
From a yards per play perspective, OK State has been pretty inefficient on 1st downs. That could be a key advantage for us on Saturday.
Quarterback:
Spencer Sanders should be back Saturday so I'm not showing anything for OK State, but here's a bit for Purdy.
On 1st downs Purdy is more efficient. And by quite a lot. If we can have a GOOD BALANCE of passing on 1st downs to stay ahead of the chains to ensure a lot of short yardage 2nd and 3rd downs or even 1st down conversions we will be successful. I know the 62 pass attempts from last year has people balking at passing, but look at the above chart: we gain >3 yards more on 1st downs by passing than rushing.
RB Comparison:
From a strict yards per carry perspective, Hall outgains Hubbard 6.0 to 4.9.
That said, they both tend to cluster their carries at around 3 yards per carry (Breece's most common yards gained are 1 yard and 2 yards, Hubbard's most common carry gets him 3 yards). The difference though is that Hall has produced a few more explosive plays for long yardage (his 3 longest carries are longer than any carry Hubbard has produced).
Receivers
The first couple tables show who each team is targeting on 1st downs. Tylan Wallace garners 50% (!) of Oklahoma State's targets on 1st downs. And there's a good reason. Everyone else has been garbage on 1st downs as receivers for them.
For Iowa State, Xavier Hutchinson leads the way with 8 targets on 1st downs, although I'd hazard to guess Kolar will overtake him here eventually. And whereas the Cowboys only get production from Wallace on 1st down passes, Purdy can spread the ball out to just about anyone and be successful.
The final charts here reflect receivers on all plays for each team, measuring completion percentage (color and label), yards per target (length of bar), and number of targets (width of bar).
Landen Akers leads Iowa State with nearly 11 yards per target. The completion percentage to him is lower, but completion percentage is less of a big deal for me than yards per target, since completion percentage can be very depth-of-target dependent.
For Oklahoma State... well, again there's no surprise here. Just cover Wallace, right?
Share your thoughts, let me know what you like / don't and even any other visuals or analytics you might be interested in. All of this is produced via play-by-play data.
