You have absolutely zero way of knowing what will happen if TJ is hired. Most coaching hires are a gamble so whether it is TJ or Smith or most other candidates it could end up not working or it could work. There were a lot of people who thought the Hoiberg hire was a disaster.
Id be interested to see what percentages people are putting on TJ being successful vs Craig Smith being successful here. I’d say they are both 50/50.