Second Half Projections
- Thread starter BMWallace
- Start date
Whatever happens the rest of the way, I hope we beat the living bejesus out K-State, like 66–3.
I feel like Texas Tech is the biggest game of the season (going forward). Win that and momentum is flying ISU's direction against KU and BU. Go 3-0 and we are playing with house money at Texas.
Couldn't agree more but the ISU way has historically been to come off the bye week sluggish AF. So I hope that doesn't happen and we jump on Tech early...
I think Jay Jordan covered that in his analysis of the game.
https://cyclonefanatic.com/2018/10/the-sunday-after-west-virginia-2/
There's a possibility we could be favored by the time the Texas game rolls around. They're very weird in the aspect they seem to either play pretty well or pretty poorly. It just so happens, they've played well when they've played quality teams and they've gotten away with it when they haven't played well because they weren't playing a quality team. Maryland is the obvious exception.
Incarnate Word
Kansas
Baylor
K-State
Tech
Texas
in that order. Hoping best case is 6-0 and worst case is 3-3. Would be very happy with 5-1 and the freshman playing the second half vs Incarnate Word
Kansas
Baylor
K-State
Tech
Texas
in that order. Hoping best case is 6-0 and worst case is 3-3. Would be very happy with 5-1 and the freshman playing the second half vs Incarnate Word
I got called out on my post earlier, obviously I misunderstood what the game-by-game odds mean in full context. I shouldn't have been so critical of S&P's assessment without full knowledge, I didn't realize how it works. (I'm still not totally clear, but I don't expect anyone to try to fully elaborate).
Ill give you a very basic example.
Lets say you have 2 kids. The odds of having them both be boys isn't 1 in 2. It's 1 in 4.
The odds of the first being a boy is 1 in 2.
The odds of the second being a boy is 1 in 2.
The possible outcomes for 2 kids is: boy/boy; boy/girl; girl/boy; girl/girl. IE, 1 in 4 chance of boy/boy.
Each individual outcome (boy or girl) has a 50% chance of occuring at each chance, but the more chances that happen, the collective chance of the same outcome happening decreases.
This team can compete with anyone, especially now that we have found an offense. But you can damn sure bet it will be 14 on 11 at Austin. Hell the refs screwed us in our own stadium a few yrs ago. It will take an exceptional game by us to overcome that. That said if anyone can do it it's Campbell & Co.
Ah, your simple probability example set me straight. Thanks. I now realize where I went wrong w/ my initial post.
