Second Half Projections

[BMWallace]

https://247sports.com/college/iowa-...x-projects-second-half-2018-season-123376386/

FPI and S&P+ both have ISU favored heavily in four of the remaining games with being a slight favorite over Texas Tech, and underdogs at Texas.

 

[CycoCyclone]

Someone talk me out of us winning out, with a dog fight at UT

 

[awd4cy]

Only loss is at Texas.

 

[RonBurgundy]

Would love to see us beat Tech and at least get to 8-4. Would put us in the mix for the Alamo Bowl on a Friday night. Cyclones would rule San Antonio and the Riverwalk.

 

[NorthCyd]

Someone talk me out of us winning out, with a dog fight at UT

 

[1976]

Someone talk me out of us winning out, with a dog fight at UT

Can't do it, I believe we are winning out, but the game at Texas is truly the only question mark.

 

[clonedlion]

Iowa State will run the table, which includes beating TX + REFS down in Austin. TX offense is inconsistent at best. Ehlinger won't run against this D effectively and neither QB can throw.

 

[Cyclonepride]

4-2 or 5-1, for a final record of 7-5 or 8-4. We have the ability to run the table, but a lot can happen, and sometimes you come out flat or catch a team when it's their day.

 

[JM4CY]

Because why the hell not.

 

[FinalFourCy]

Someone talk me out of us winning out, with a dog fight at UT

Remember Big 12 Refs and KSU a year ago.
Big 12 Refs and apology letters against UT.

You can lose when you shouldn’t.

 

[weR138]

Remember Big 12 Refs and KSU a year ago.
Big 12 Refs and apology letters against UT.

You can lose when you DIDN'T.

Fixed

 

[weR138]

Have to admit I'm really glad we've got BU in Ames. They scare the berjeebers outta me.

 

[Gunnerclone]

I think we get tripped up in one of the games we are favored in and lose to Texas. 4-2 to finish and I would still be really happy with that.

 

[Mtowncyclone13]

Have to admit I'm really glad we've got BU in Ames. They scare the berjeebers outta me.

There's a sex joke in here that someone shouldn't make.

 

[1100011CS]

https://247sports.com/college/iowa-...x-projects-second-half-2018-season-123376386/

FPI and S&P+ both have ISU favored heavily in four of the remaining games with being a slight favorite over Texas Tech, and underdogs at Texas.

Don't you hate when someone disagrees with your post when you're really just linking to information?

 

[cyclones500]

S&P doesn’t follow its own percentages. ISU is 50% or better in all but one (with UT at 44%), but has ISU going only 4-2 (7-5). I know, TT is 54/46, but how do you determine it tilts toward the slight underdog, especially since it's at JTS? (and home field is likely considered in the formula anyway).

Overall, though, the projections are close to what I'd predict. Interesting variance for Texas game among those sources ... ISU from 28% to 45%.

 

[BMWallace]

Don't you hate when someone disagrees with your post when you're really just linking to information?

I had the wrong link at first, so I think that is what the dislike was for.

 

[GrappleCy]

S&P doesn’t follow its own percentages. ISU is 50% or better in all but one (with UT at 44%), but has ISU going only 4-2 (7-5). I know, TT is 54/46, but how do you determine it tilts toward the slight underdog, especially since it's at JTS? (and home field is likely considered in the formula anyway).
.

It's not their fault you don't understand statistics. The prediction is cumulative based on all our games, not each game taken in isolation. If we had 100 games with a 51% chance to win each one the model wouldn't predict we go 100-0, it would predict we go 51-49.

 

[ScottyP]

Even with Iowa State playing well, I doubt we beat K-state. The vampire is starting his late season turnaround.

 

[Spanky]

Even with Iowa State playing well, I doubt we beat K-state. The vampire is starting his late season turnaround.