If Ehlinger is still out and if Bouchelle is gimpy, the good guys win at Texas.
Second Half Projections
- Thread starter BMWallace
- Start date
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
The beauty and frustrating aspect of sports. The outcomes are binary but the odds are not.
Odds are we don’t sweep a bunch of toss-ups, but if you do, an average team can easy “become” very good. That’s where good coaching can make a big difference
Last edited:
5-1 or 6-0 this team has turned the corner and is solid. KSU is going down!
It just means that record isn't a very good indicator of team quality. You can try to account for uncertainty, but with only 12 discrete data points the confidence interval is huge. If a team goes 12-0, there's a 5% chance that team is actually only an 0.855 team. Conversely, a team that is "10-2 quality" could end up with anywhere between 7 and 11 wins.
Easy... Purdy gets injured. Defense keeps us in all the games but offense is completely different with him. Like TX we seem to be an injury away from competing in the top tier. If Purdy goes down, we are right back where we were two weeks ago... thats a little scary!
If someone disagrees with my post when I'm linking information I don't take it personally, just take it as a disagreement with the content of what I linked. Heck, I might disagree with it too.
The good guys win out. OU wins out. UT drops a second game against WVU or TT.
Incarnate Wood is sitting at home on 12/1 while we head to Dallas to earn a Big 12 Championship and a spot at the Sugar Bowl.
Good thing I did not cancel my hotel room in NO after the TCU game....
Yes there is still a reasonable chance....
Incarnate Wood is sitting at home on 12/1 while we head to Dallas to earn a Big 12 Championship and a spot at the Sugar Bowl.
Good thing I did not cancel my hotel room in NO after the TCU game....
Yes there is still a reasonable chance....
They say that we're slightly more likely to beat KSU than either Baylor or Kansas. Somehow, that scares me slightly.
Ending 8-4 or even 7-5 would still be pretty great. Gotta keep reeling it back to understand that it's only year 3...but with this many true freshman and other young players putting a game together like Saturday's...
After the last two games, my heart is telling me 5-1 to finish... but my brain says, "Not so fast, my friend," and makes me settle on 4-2. And I'll take it. Really excited to see if we can do better.
We’re gonna kick Texas’ *** the same way we did WVU’s.
Its definitely weird this year and last year.
There used to be games you could generally pretty easily go 'yeah, that's a loss barring some huge shock'.
You look at the back half of this schedule and go 'yeah, these games are all winnable'.
There used to be games you could generally pretty easily go 'yeah, that's a loss barring some huge shock'.
You look at the back half of this schedule and go 'yeah, these games are all winnable'.
I just watched replay of K State beating OSU. Unbelievable how the QB Cornelius (against ISU) was right on the dime with his passes that entire game, against K State under less duress (only sacked twice) he couldn't hit wide open receivers. Plus his receivers dropped about 3 passes that were catchable. I see against TX Tech he was 18 for 38. So it appears that he had the game of his life against ISU as I remember thinking Oh My Gosh this QB is incredibly accurate.
The point is that K State did not beat the same Okie State team that we beat. You know how sometimes an athlete is just "on?" Well, Cornelius had his can't-miss day against ISU. I would not be surprised if Okie State loses out every game now, unless that QB has another day like he did with us.
As for K State, they do have a great running game and you have to clamp down on that to beat them. Their QB is more of a threat when he runs than when he passes. Several times Saturday he dropped to pass but then scrambled and got 10 to 15 yards. Take away getting sacked and he ran for almost 100 yards himself on Saturday. I have to think our coaches will figure this out if I did.
I honestly expect ISU to win out. Maybe pass on Microsoft Word at the end of the season, however I was looking forward to attending my first game at Jack Trice in the month of December.
I feel like part of the success the last two weeks is also due to OL play improving. Against OSU we were able to seal the edge, and against WVU we were able to seal the edge and open some holes inside. So losing Purdy would definitely hurt, but I feel better that our run game wouldn't disappear like it did early in the season. That would make Zeb's job easier.
One thing that may have gotten overlooked (haven't read every thread) is Purdy's ability/willingness to throw under duress. Against WVU he made several very good throws just before getting hit. I don't recall if Zeb has that same calm delivery under pressure.
Consider too that we had several very quick drives against Okie State with long pass completions...no Montgomery. Having Monty in the WV game lengthened out the drives, reducing the time that WV had. I feel having Monty in the Okie State game would have given Okie State less possessions and perhaps widened the final scoring margin.
This makes the team even more dangerous as the offense controls the game tempo while keeping the defense even fresher. Yum!
This makes the team even more dangerous as the offense controls the game tempo while keeping the defense even fresher. Yum!
