Okay here's my by the numbers.....
Since Baylor got blasted by KU the first time 92-74, theyve played Missou tough losing by 1 and then have had a series of unflattering wins and losses. In their wins against, Oklahoma, Texas, A&M, OkSt they only won decisively against oklahma....the rest were 5 points or below. Throw in that mix back to back throttles by KU and Missou and you have a team that could be a bit mis-matched mentally. We need to get ahead of them and apply pressure and i think this team will crumble. Percy is struggling scoring just 9 points in their last 2 games where he should have dominated the paint. In their last 5 home games they've only covered the spread once.
Conversely, ISU in their last 5 road games have either beat the spread in all but one and that was an even going 4-0-1. ISU is really playing well - having watched the game against A&M they seem to be spreading the floor and working hard for shots. What i hated so much during the McDermott era was the standing around one pass shots....i hated that....with this offense, its very selfless, guys setting screens, guys working to get other guys easy shots....I mean seriously, Royce only had 5 points last game and 2 before that - both in wins. When your best player is unselfish and willing to help get other guys the ball in a good spot the other players thrive off of it....its easy to sell!!!!
I think ISU matches up to Baylor very well, in fact both teams have 6 guys that average 15 minutes or more. Right now the difference is Baylor has been in a funk and ISU is surging. In the last 5 games Baylor has shot above 40% only once. Conversely, ISU has been above the 40% in 4 out of 5 and 7 out of their last 10. IF ISU shoots above 44% they will win this game. Baylor has not had an offensive bust out game in their last 7 games which makes me fear this as them eyeing this as their bust out game and they simply do it.....
Obviously i see Royce defending Jones. I'm worried that White not being able to move his feet quick enough against the ultra quick Jones. If that happens, dont be surprised to see ejim defend jones. Then i see our defensive stopper Babb on Q. Miller. I think from my perspective there are a few guys that can fill it up for Baylor, but i'm more worried about Jones and Quincy Miller. If we can contain them, the going gets a bit tougher for the other Miller and Jackson.
ISU needs to pound the glass....it was so fun watching the missed shots from A&M and then a cyclone jersey cleaning the glass...that made it fun....If we can do these few things we win in Waco and truly set the table for a historic run in ISU basketball.