Let's see. Personalized anecdotes are currently 2-1 (or 1-2 ) , but maybe I've lost track. Woot. Maybe we can get that in a personal anecdotes re education amidst COVID thread?
This is only a small part of the substitute shortage.Personally speaking my flock of children have been in person every day this school year and have yet to have a substitute teacher due to covid.
I'm not denying that substitutes are a challenge this year for many districts. But the vast majority of districts have tried to press ahead with in-person learning as much as possible which I commend.This is only a small part of the substitute shortage.
Our small district has had 8 teachers out with Covid. So 8 teachers out two weeks, but still not the biggest problem.
Public health is telling teachers that they can teach in a mask and shield if in “quarantine” due to contact, but they cannot go anywhere else, so quarantined teachers do not contribute to the sub problem.
Our district relies primarily on substitutes who are retired teachers and they do not want to sub as they fall in at risk categories.
Beyond subs for teachers with Covid, you still need them for all the other reasons you need subs. My 62 year hypertensive SIL subbing for weeks for a teacher who had a baby.
You still need subs when a teacher is out for surgery or other medical reasons. One of the high school teachers is out a few days with ACL surgery.
At least here, the supply of subs is the biggest part of the problem since the vast majority of them are older and at risk.
It can't be working too well for the "urban" schools with the staffing problems.I think "definitely not working out so well" is a bridge too far.
I think many of those that have kids going to school in person would attest the learning experience is much better than at home, even with the challenges present in a covid environment. I think many school boards agreed which as why they were switching to 100% in person before the recent spike.
Personally speaking my flock of children have been in person every day this school year and have yet to have a substitute teacher due to covid.
Definitely not. I'm basing it on the comments of school officials from Ames, Ankeny, and Des Moines.Do you commend their practices, Erik? Do you base you commendation and opinion solely on your own experience with one school district?
Hospitalizations falling fast the last 3-4 days. Fall Midwest wave appears to be trending about 2 weeks behind the fall wave in Europe. Europe's "wave" is ending fast.
Iowa hospitalizations have dropped 4-5 days in a row, so I think the cases falling is a real trend.
Straightforward analysis shows that deaths track about 22 days after cases, using a multiplier of 0.017 (when looking at both as a 7 day rolling average).
That would project Iowa peaks at 78 deaths/day (again, as 7 day rolling average) two weeks from today, and then death rate starts falling (hopefully the recent drop in Iowa’s new cases is a real trend and not just noise).
That would also project we approach 3,000 deaths/day nationally around December 14.
I agree it looks like the wave may be peaking, but with the timing of us headed into the holidays I'm afraid it will catch a second wind before it actually comes down.
Are we trusting China now? I've lost track."Conclusion: In summary, all the 455 contacts were excluded from SARS-CoV-2 infection and we conclude that the infectivity of some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak."In summary, all the 455 contacts were excluded from SARS-CoV-2 infection and we conclude that the infectivity of some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak.pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
That's a really weak study (https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6947e2.htm?s_cid=mm6947e2_w). Basically their data are:While they may be unpopular in some places, mask mandates work to slow the spread of Covid-19, according to new research published Friday by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.amp.cnn.com