Let's see. Personalized anecdotes are currently 2-1 (or 1-2 ) , but maybe I've lost track. Woot. Maybe we can get that in a personal anecdotes re education amidst COVID thread?
Merged Covid Megathread
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This is only a small part of the substitute shortage.
Our small district has had 8 teachers out with Covid. So 8 teachers out two weeks, but still not the biggest problem.
Public health is telling teachers that they can teach in a mask and shield if in “quarantine” due to contact, but they cannot go anywhere else, so quarantined teachers do not contribute to the sub problem.
Our district relies primarily on substitutes who are retired teachers and they do not want to sub as they fall in at risk categories.
Beyond subs for teachers with Covid, you still need them for all the other reasons you need subs. My 62 year hypertensive SIL subbing for weeks for a teacher who had a baby.
You still need subs when a teacher is out for surgery or other medical reasons. One of the high school teachers is out a few days with ACL surgery.
At least here, the supply of subs is the biggest part of the problem since the vast majority of them are older and at risk.
I'm not denying that substitutes are a challenge this year for many districts. But the vast majority of districts have tried to press ahead with in-person learning as much as possible which I commend.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
It can't be working too well for the "urban" schools with the staffing problems.
Do you commend their practices, Erik? Do you base you commendation and opinion solely on your own experience with one school district?
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
Definitely not. I'm basing it on the comments of school officials from Ames, Ankeny, and Des Moines.
And yes, I understand that I'm doing it wrong.
Hospitalizations falling fast the last 3-4 days. Fall Midwest wave appears to be trending about 2 weeks behind the fall wave in Europe. Europe's "wave" is ending fast.
Hospitals Know What’s Coming
“We are on an absolutely catastrophic path,” said a COVID-19 doctor at America’s best-prepared hospital.
www.theatlantic.com
U.S. reports nearly 200,000 new coronavirus cases as more than 1,500 people die daily
Public health specialists and epidemiologists are sounding the alarm that Thanksgiving could worsen an already severe outbreaks nationwide.
www.cnbc.com
How Many Americans Are About to Die?
A new analysis shows that the country is on track to pass spring’s grimmest record.
www.google.com
Straightforward analysis shows that deaths track about 22 days after cases, using a multiplier of 0.017 (when looking at both as a 7 day rolling average).
That would project Iowa peaks at 78 deaths/day (again, as 7 day rolling average) two weeks from today, and then death rate starts falling (hopefully the recent drop in Iowa’s new cases is a real trend and not just noise).
That would also project we approach 3,000 deaths/day nationally around December 14.
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Iowa hospitalizations have dropped 4-5 days in a row, so I think the cases falling is a real trend.How Many Americans Are About to Die?
A new analysis shows that the country is on track to pass spring’s grimmest record.
Straightforward analysis shows that deaths track about 22 days after cases, using a multiplier of 0.017 (when looking at both as a 7 day rolling average).
That would project Iowa peaks at 78 deaths/day (again, as 7 day rolling average) two weeks from today, and then death rate starts falling (hopefully the recent drop in Iowa’s new cases is a real trend and not just noise).
That would also project we approach 3,000 deaths/day nationally around December 14.
I agree it looks like the wave may be peaking, but with the timing of us headed into the holidays I'm afraid it will catch a second wind before it actually comes down.
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Masks mandates worked to slow the spread of Covid-19 in Kansas, CDC research shows
While they may be unpopular in some places, mask mandates work to slow the spread of Covid-19, according to new research published Friday by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Most Covid cases spread by people without symptoms, CDC now says
Most Covid-19 infections are spread by people who have no symptoms, the CDC says in newly updated guidance.amp.cnn.com
A study on infectivity of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers - PubMed
In summary, all the 455 contacts were excluded from SARS-CoV-2 infection and we conclude that the infectivity of some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
"Conclusion: In summary, all the 455 contacts were excluded from SARS-CoV-2 infection and we conclude that the infectivity of some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak."A study on infectivity of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers - PubMed
In summary, all the 455 contacts were excluded from SARS-CoV-2 infection and we conclude that the infectivity of some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak.
Are we trusting China now? I've lost track.
Asymptomatic COVID-19 Transmission Revealed Through Study of 2,000 Marine Recruits
A study of nearly 2,000 Marine recruits who went through supervised quarantine before starting basic training revealed several instances of asymptomatic transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, despite the quarantine measures. The findings have important implications for the ef
scitechdaily.com
That's a really weak study (https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6947e2.htm?s_cid=mm6947e2_w). Basically their data are:Masks mandates worked to slow the spread of Covid-19 in Kansas, CDC research shows
While they may be unpopular in some places, mask mandates work to slow the spread of Covid-19, according to new research published Friday by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.amp.cnn.com
- The mask-mandate counties had 3 cases per 100k the week of June 1-7.
- The non-mask-mandate counties had 4 cases per 100k the week of June 1-7.
- The mask-mandate counties had 17 cases per 100k the week of July 3-9. (beginning week of mask-mandate)
- The non-mask-mandate counties had 6 cases per 100k the week of July 3-9. (beginning week of mask-mandate)
- The mask-mandate counties had 16 cases per 100k the week of August 17-23.
- The non-mask mandate counties had 12 cases per 100k the week of August 17-23.
New study shows mask mandates in St. Louis, St. Louis County drastically reduced virus spread
The research reinforces the public health benefits of mask-wearing as medical leaders implore Gov. Mike Parson to order a statewide mask mandate.
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