Just a reminder, We were a 3-seed when Niang and Co. lost to UAB in the first round in 2015.
ISU Up to #6
- Thread starter Marcelason78
- Start date
What we do doesn't occur in a vacuum. If we win out and Tennessee wins out and North Carolina wins out and Arizona wins out, we won't be a 1-seed. If we win out and only one of those 3 wins out, we won't be a 1-seed.
I think at this point we have zero chance at a 1-seed. Purdue, UConn, and Houston are locks. Too many teams to pass, not enough time.
I think you meant to say "Notre Dame's *****"
There was more going on with that team than this one. They were prone to taking nights off here and there. This team may not win every game, but they put it all out there.
None of know what the committee will/won't do. From history though, they have said and shown that fans tend to overvalue conference tournament results. It's always funny when you hear folks talk like this going into a conference tournament for any team:
Currently projected 6 seed example
0 wins in conference tournament we fall to a 7 seed
1 win remain a 6 but likely move to the last 5
2 wins solidly a 5
Win the conference tournament at least a 4 seed
It just doesn't work that way people.
Quad one wins is a HUGE factor as it should be. I would love to get the 2 seed and play in Omaha. Purdue would likely be the 1 seed in the same regional.... we owe them some payback from a few years ago.
I was just looking at the article on ESPN and it shows ISU at number 6 with a record of
23-36
Trying to remember those other 30 losses...
23-36
Trying to remember those other 30 losses...
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
I think we can still get a #1 if
- We win out
- We knock off Houston
- Arizona and Tennessee both lose
I tend to think that conference tournament results have more impact on teams around the bubble than teams at the top.
If the committee just looks at them as an additional 1-4 data points equal to all the others, a team that's already towards the top will have plenty of data points showing they deserve to be where they are, but a team near the bubble may stand out a lot more from its competition if they can notch another Q1 win or two in a conference tourney as the resumes of most teams on the bubble are pretty weak.
Big 12 coaches preseason poll picked us to finish 7th in the conference. It's now March and we're ranked 6th in the nation.
TJ = national coach of the year
TJ = national coach of the year
Not to sidetrack the thread but I think TJ and Fen should both be B12 coaches of the year.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
Yep, 4th 1 seed is only one realistically up for grabs (could be shuffle among order of the top 3 lines, but they're all safe).
Tennessee's advantage is its final 2 regular season games are at South Carolina and vs. UK. Opportunity to enhance profile with wins, losses aren't going to hurt much. UT might be in driver's seat for the final slot.
North Carolina finishes home vs. ND and at Duke.
Arizona is at UCLA and at USC.
It's more "damage avoidance" in the case of UNC-ND. Arizona probably needs to go at least 1-1 to retain shot at 1 seed.
I suppose Marquette has distant chance, plays UConn at home, then at Xavier. Doubtful.
Iowa State has home vs BYU and at Kansas State. I don't know if that's enough to climb by 5-ish positions.
I'm not considering any conference tournament matchps in this because too many variables for opponents and whether it would make much difference at that point.
Voters must really like us even with 36 losses!! 
