2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

Cyclonepride

Thought Police
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Apr 11, 2006
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Torvik has them going more like 15-3 or 14-4.

Similar exercise for Iowa State (with Torvik win expectations) --

Currently at (4-2)

95% v. West Virginia
82% v. TCU
81% v. Oklahoma
80% v. Texas Tech
76% v. Kansas
69% @ UCF
67% @ Kansas St.
66% v. BYU
61% @ Cincinnati
57% @ Texas
51% @ Baylor
13% @ Houston

You're favored as of now in every game save one...

15-3 would probably do it, but it requires zero slipups on your part.
I'll be shocked if anyone goes 14-4, and 15-3 just seems otherworldly. If they do, they earned the hell out of it.
 

Halincandenza

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Oct 24, 2018
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Kaluma is really good. Perry is no where near what Nowell was for them last year though, and they lost Tomlin. Their remaining bigs are pretty bad.
I think Kaluma could be really good but he isn't a very intelligent player. He is shooting better from three so far this year than he has in the past but in I wouldn't call him really good. Above average.
 
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AuH2O

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Sep 7, 2013
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Not me. KSU is just ok this year. They play hard but they aren't that good. Decent defensive team but horrible offensively. It feels to me like he is trying to recreate the magic of his team last year so he goes out and gets a small PG to replace Nowell and then gets Kaluma to replace Johnson but neither are as good as those two but they are still playing like they are.
I don't think most people appreciate how good of a college player Nowell was, playing what is by miles the most important position in college basketball. Kaluma is OK but not what Johnson was either.

But that drop-off from Nowell is enormous.
 

VeloClone

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Jan 19, 2010
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Not me. KSU is just ok this year. They play hard but they aren't that good. Decent defensive team but horrible offensively. It feels to me like he is trying to recreate the magic of his team last year so he goes out and gets a small PG to replace Nowell and then gets Kaluma to replace Johnson but neither are as good as those two but they are still playing like they are.
I liked when they put Milan on Kaluma. Milan still has a lot to learn on defense but his length made it a lot more difficult for Kaluma to just shoot a bomb over someone. If you can make him a driver all night you have a great chance because he is their highest percentage and most consistent 3 point threat.
 

ebState

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Nov 30, 2015
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Wasting time at work sorting data on barttorvik. The computers are out of control.
BT tourneyCast is giving us better-than-not odds to make S16, and almost 9% to make the championship game.
1706287925570.png


BPI is just as drunk, at 9.8%.

Interesting to see how consistently drunk they are though.

It will be interesting to see how the game Saturday swings these numbers.
 

Gunnerclone

Well-Known Member
Jul 16, 2010
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DSM
Wasting time at work sorting data on barttorvik. The computers are out of control.
BT tourneyCast is giving us better-than-not odds to make S16, and almost 9% to make the championship game.
View attachment 122845


BPI is just as drunk, at 9.8%.

Interesting to see how consistently drunk they are though.

It will be interesting to see how the game Saturday swings these numbers.

OMFG This is so flawed I’m going to bring this up on my brand new MacBook and stab it with a screwdriver.
 
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MeanDean

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Jan 5, 2009
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Blue Grass IA-Jensen Beach FL

Dale

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Mar 5, 2010
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DK is now paying 90 to 1 odds for ISU to make the final four. It was 100 to 1 prior to the KU game.
ISU to make Final Four is +900 on Draft Kings, which is 9-1. They're 35-1 to win the whole thing.

After yesterday Iowa State is up to second-most-likely to win the Big 12 on DK, at 11-2 odds. Houston is the prohibitive favorite, though, at 4-7.
 

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