Agree. I thought it was 50/50 to make the tournament, especially when Williams went down for the year.
2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
Could have used an experienced PG last night when the freshman cracked under pressure...
As I've said a few times, even if the team fades somewhat and backs into the NCAA tournament, I think this has been a pretty good season. What they've done so far, even with the frustratingly close losses in the Big 12 and the no-show games against Iowa and Missouri, is impressive considering they're down Williams, Kunc, Grill isn't 100% and won't be the rest of the year, and the the last-minute miss on Green.
Give you those guys back and healthy and... wow.
TJ knows what he's doing in building a roster.
16 conference road wins in 14 seasons.
They are having a good year. I think what's extremely frustrating is we've seen evidence we have a really good team so far. We have huge top end wins so it's obvious to me we are a top tier team in the conference.
The issue I have is we see this time and time again for the last 20 years now and through 3 coaches now. Team is good enough to contend for Big 12 title but for whatever reason just isn't getting it done.
Hoiberg could never win on the road, Prohm couldn't protect the home court, now TJ looks like he might be able to do both and we **** away games at the end instead.
Obviously at the beginning of the year I would have been happy with a 6 seed but once conference play starts its obvious we have a higher ceiling than that becuawe we've already beat the best teams in the league.
You would think will all the success we've had since Eustachy we would be able to put together 1 year in 20 where we contend for a title but it's just the same 12-6 ceiling every year.
I knew it was pretty rough, but woof. Polar opposite team in Hilton vs on the road. Our Texas Tech results this year remind me a lot of those teams.
Up to #3 in the country (On Torvik) when playing at home
Nothing better than protecting home court
Nothing better than protecting home court
How I feel now that the team has King, Grill, and Kunc all healthy.
I enjoy posting these after wins.
Does it predict which 4 games we will lose? And since we only have 3 more road games, what game(s) at Hilton do they predict us to lose?
Seems to me that we should be a bit better than they are predicting.
Already list us as underdogs v WVU. My guess is at K state, Texas, and Baylor. The remaining road games. The way we play on the road and the quality of the opponent this is fair.
How long do we need to be in 1st or 2nd place before we're better than 5th in the Big 12?
Lol, I noticed that everytime I check this thread also. It still thinks we are 5th even though we already beat Baylor, K-State, and TCU.
The Big 12 really is that unforgiving. The blowout losses to middling P6 teams like Iowa and Missouri are weighing down the team’s metrics, as well.
Is there an updated version of this somewhere? I really like the info and the gradient formatting. I'm curious where it all stacks up now.
Latest update on our Nitty Gritty: (future games)
ISU Net 12 Net SOS 7
KenPom 19
BPI 21
Sagarin 21
KPI 13
T-Rank 12
Q1 7-6 (6)
Q1a 4-4 (4)
Q1b 3-2 (2)
Q2 2-0 (2)
Q2a 0-0 (1)
Q2b 2-0 (1)
Q3 1-0
Q4 6-0
All of ISU's remaining away games are solidly Q1a and will likely remain so: UT 8, BU 13, WVU 20, KSU 21 (Q1a<41)
Two of ISU's remaining home games are currently Q1b but could promote to Q1a: TCU 17, WVU 20, (Q1a<16)
Baylor home game (Q1a) is in danger of becomeing a Q1b game
BU H 13 (Q1b>15)
Tech away game (Q1b) is in danger of becoming a Q2a game
TTU A 71 (Q2a>75)
Tech home game (Q2b) is in danger of becoming a Q3 game
TTU H 71 (Q3>75)
ISU Net 12 Net SOS 7
KenPom 19
BPI 21
Sagarin 21
KPI 13
T-Rank 12
Q1 7-6 (6)
Q1a 4-4 (4)
Q1b 3-2 (2)
Q2 2-0 (2)
Q2a 0-0 (1)
Q2b 2-0 (1)
Q3 1-0
Q4 6-0
All of ISU's remaining away games are solidly Q1a and will likely remain so: UT 8, BU 13, WVU 20, KSU 21 (Q1a<41)
Two of ISU's remaining home games are currently Q1b but could promote to Q1a: TCU 17, WVU 20, (Q1a<16)
Baylor home game (Q1a) is in danger of becomeing a Q1b game
BU H 13 (Q1b>15)
Tech away game (Q1b) is in danger of becoming a Q2a game
TTU A 71 (Q2a>75)
Tech home game (Q2b) is in danger of becoming a Q3 game
TTU H 71 (Q3>75)
All four remaining road games are Q1a games and barring a freefall by one of those teams will remain so.
Also, regarding the inquiries about ISU placement ... correct me if I'm wrong, everything in those updates is a projection, not a current snapshot(?)
If that's the case, the word might mislead some people, especially:
“We currently rank Iowa State … “ ... "currently" suggests what it is now (which would be tied for 2nd) but it's actually if season ended today.
Am I right on that?
Also would explain 100% to make NCAA tournament. I don't think ISU is to lock status yet, although it's pretty darn close (it's possible only 1 additional win is needed).
