That’s not the new admission rule (no longer requiring qualifying test scores).It also paints a target on our five returners (or at least Conditt, Jackson, and Young, who have not yet transferred like Bolton and Johnson have).
I am not saying any of them want to bail... if they wanted to, they probably would have by now, and especially Solomon, who would be highly coveted as a graduate transfer right now... but it makes it easier for them to do so if they want to.
The real problematic thing about about that rule change would be next spring. If we suck again, and everybody has one mulligan for a transfer with immediate eligibility, then Conditt, Jackson, and the four incoming freshmen might want to explore other options. That goes doubly so if Prohm is fired and they do not like the new coach.
For example, Blackwell and Foster could be pretty good for freshmen in the Big 12, but that might not be nearly good enough to turn the fortunes of the program around, which means Prohm is out of work and those two are free to bail to a host of suitors. They have to be re-recruited by whoever the new coach would be, and that might not end with them sticking around Ames. So we might be close to starting over.
Cupboards could be pretty bare in the future when new coaches (and not just in Ames here, mind you) come into a school if guys can leave so easily like that.
The transfer rule will favor good programs, good fast (transfer) recruiters, and programs skilled at communication with their team. Needless to say, I don’t see a large increase in roster risk whether we have a coaching change or not. There could be some guys that leave if Prohm and staff move down a level, but that’s often overblown and a new staff would presumably bring in their own connections. I like our roster in two years, but we don’t even know how many would have high WAR values.