My thoughts on tonight's games:
Southern Miss isn't making the NCAA Tournament without winning C-USA. They still haven't beat anyone, and they picked up their first RPI sub-200 loss at Marshall tonight. Even their overinflated computer numbers won't save them.
Ole Miss held off Alabama tonight which effectively was a bubble elimination game. Although I don't think Alabama losing finishes them off, it's going to be tough to make it when you have zero top 50 wins and zero top 100 road wins to date.
If people think Iowa State is a bad road team, then Arkansas is an awful road team. They are 1-9 on the road this year with 7 of their road losses coming by 10 points or more, two of them being Vanderbilt and South Carolina. They have wins vs. Oklahoma, Florida, and Missouri, but with that bad road record and poor computer numbers, the Razorbacks will have to potentially make the finals of the SEC Tournament to have any shot at an at-large bid.
Iowa is slowly creeping back into the at-large picture with everyone in front of them losing. While they are still only 3-8 vs. the RPI Top 50 and 2-8 on the road plus have weak computer numbers and a horrible non-conference SOS, beating Illinois was huge to potentially build momentum going into Big Ten tournament action. They'll need to reach the final to even be in at-large consideration, but if everyone in front of them plays themselves out of the tournament, then the Hoks might sneak in the back door.