Getting the 1 seed for the conference tourney would be sick, but selfishly I'd be quite alright with the 2 or 3 for the sake of me being able to attend the first game in KC
2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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This year I don't really care about the B12 tournament unless winning it gives us a 1 seed.
Yep that and let's not be a one in done. Also, we've never lost a championship game so either bow out in the semis or win it all.
Can someone explain how we are the 2 seed in nearly every BracketMatrix expert's predictions with Michigan as the 1? I thought the overall #1 would be pitted against the last #2 seed which ain't us. Is it based on region/closeness to home?
I think the committee has shown that conference tournament results don't matter for NCAA seeding. I think it's dumb, but understandable that they basically want to have the draw figured out already.
Tamin's career win total would be helped with three wins down there. Could still get it without that but would be a nice dual benefit.
IMHO, I cannot understand at all why the conference tournament wouldn't matter. They are literally huddled in a room for 3 straight days. They are not monitoring hundreds of games, they are monitoring a dozens of games, and really not even that many that would have direct "seed line" implications. I just cannot fathom how games actually being played are ignored. It cannot be that hard to move teams a few spots. I understand there are locations involved, rules around conferences being in a the same region, etc. - but again - they are huddled in a room together for multiple days with massive amounts of computing power, AI, algorithms, scenario tracking, teams of support people, etc.
You give the committee way more credit than they deserve. Mostly, they look at what the idiot Lunardi has to say.
I pretty much agree. I think there's maybe a gray area during those last weekend tournaments. Their bracket by that Friday is probably 99% done...but to me that means if have a lot of 'if X team wins/loses they go here' or 'if x team plays y team and they're both vying for a high seed (like maybe ISU v Houston), then winner gets higher seed'. With data and technology I am sure they have a system almost like a drag and drop based on a few results in those late tournies.
That game in Tucson is quickly becoming what might be a de facto play-in game for the #1 seed.
Yep, but it goes without saying that we must get past BYU, Utah and Tech first. Zona vs Houston isn't as big of a deal, because one of those two teams is likely the "other" #1 seed that we'd be up against.
I have the same question, but I think it comes down to giving us regional priority in St Louis, which would be with Michigan's or Houston's region and they must want to avoid Houston/ISU and Michigan/Illinois or Purdue in the Elite 8? Or there's something earlier they're trying to avoid like ISU/Kansas and Illinois/Nebraska as the 2/3 matchups.
I'd rather see Houston than Michigan though, for obvious reasons!
Cyclonepride
Thought Police
Just watch, we'll be a projected 1 going into it and then lose a game and the committee will suddenly factor that into making us a 2
Well, I am actually not giving them any credit
Because half the things they say are so beyond stupid, the timing of their comments does not make any sense. I still cannot believe we were the #8 seed a few years ago.There was legit national conversation if we could have stolen the last 1 seed, and it turns out we were not even CLOSE. It was not even remotely discussed. #8 somehow! The entire weekend of destroying other Big 12 teams, including Houston, did not make a dent.
I am in the minority but I do not care at all about location. Omaha did not matter to me in 2024. A #1 seed would have been unreal awesome in every way. And yes, it would have absolutely boosted our path and odds to make a run, just like it would this year.
Based on the knowledge that Lunardi is one of the worst prognosticators on what the Committee will do, I think this is not true at all. If it was, Lunardi would rank as one of the best.
I don't think your tie breakers are entirely correct. I believe that the winning percentage against top teams is against all of the teams with the same record before any tie breakers are applied to them. So the winning percentage against #1 teams would be percentage against ISU and UH combined.
At least that is the way it used to be...
This is the real deal. Ill worry about Zona when we get passed BYU. We have a habit of winning games like Houston and kansas and then laying an egg. Historically we do stuff like this all the time. I know it's Cliche but one game at a time really needs to be pounded into this teams heads. Glad we got a 5 day break before BYU. Hopefully the boys get some rest and rest them legs for the final run
Good news: Creighton beating UConn bumped our win over them from a Q2b to a Q2a.
Bad news: OSU sucking has dropped both our wins over them from Q1b & Q2b to Q2a and Q3. They just need to climb one spot to get those quads back.
Bad news: OSU sucking has dropped both our wins over them from Q1b & Q2b to Q2a and Q3. They just need to climb one spot to get those quads back.
