2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread

Starting to see some tiers forming in Big12.
  • I'd expect to see KU for sure, and maybe BYU improve as their teams gel.
  • Tech in kind of an odd spot - not elite but not mid.
  • Tang pretty bad. You hate to see it.
  • Utah, man, get it together.
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Wow, and I thought the Fighting Tangs were bad
 
26-5 / 13-5 seems very realistic IMO
I’m to the point 5 losses in Big 12 will be a disappointment give the schedule this year. That would mean we’re losing some games we just shouldn’t. That’s by no means a guarantee and don’t think you’re off base.
 
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Interesting. Tope half of that checks out based rankings and watching these twams

OSU inthrenis highest surprise, IMO
 
We're not getting any mileage out of the fact we still have presidents.

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Remember when the fanbase wanted the transfer from South Dakota State (William Kyle) and we "settled" for Joshua Jefferson? I too was crushed when we "missed" on Oscar Cluff and had to "settle" for Blake Buchanan. Im good never questioning the staff in terms of their recruits again. Think they know what they are doing. Our frontcourt is incredible!
 
I’m to the point 5 losses in Big 12 will be a disappointment give the schedule this year. That would mean we’re losing some games we just shouldn’t. That’s by no means a guarantee and don’t think you’re off base.

That would also mean this team isn't winning many (if any) of the biggest games left on their schedule (@Kansas, Kansas, Houston, @BYU, @Arizona).

I have a really hard time envisioning this team going the bulk of their conference schedule without any marquee wins.
 
If I’m wagering I think 4 losses.

Lose two of @AZ, @ BYU, @KU.

Lose one respectable one at home (Probaly Houston or Kansas).

One dud of a game that surprises us or key player out.

If we win at th Phog in January it’s possible we go until mid February undefeated.
 
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I’m to the point 5 losses in Big 12 will be a disappointment give the schedule this year. That would mean we’re losing some games we just shouldn’t. That’s by no means a guarantee and don’t think you’re off base.
That's your own fault for pushing high expectations on the team when we have seen great play but haven't hit conference play yet or seen how these freshmen's legs hold up. Can we finish with like three losses? 100% yes. But I'd rather err on the side of caution for my own mental health so if we do hit a rough patch I don't immediately think it's a disappointment.

We have road games at Baylor, at Kansas, at Okie State, at TCU, at BYU, at Arizona and home against Houston, Kansas and Texas Tech. All of those games are winnable if we play our best game like Purdue. All of those games are losable if we play like we did against Iowa first half. That's nine games...split the difference. That's like 4-5 losses.